Poland - 3 Liga Group 2Data current as of October 17, 2026

Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście: match statistics

Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Noteć Czarnków played against Flota Świnoujście in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Final score: 3:0.

Recent form

Noteć Czarnków has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Flota Świnoujście has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Noteć Czarnków scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. Flota Świnoujście scores 1.50 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 3.66 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Noteć Czarnków's games and 50% of Flota Świnoujście's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 50%, compared with league averages of 73% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Flota Świnoujście has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.62 per game. Noteć Czarnków takes 13.1 shots per game, while Flota Świnoujście takes 6.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Noteć Czarnków leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. Flota Świnoujście leads at halftime in 30% and scores 1.10 after halftime.

When the teams score

Noteć Czarnków's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Flota Świnoujście, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

3 Liga Group 2 games average 3.66 goals. Both teams score in 73% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Both teams have won 1 of their last 5 matches and scored 5 goals apiece over that span, but Flota have conceded as many as 14, compared with Noteć’s 7. The hosts concede an average of 1 goal per game at home, while the visitors ship 2 on the road, giving Noteć the key advantage. Both sides score an average of 1.5 goals in these conditions, although Flota create slightly better chances: their away xG is 1.75, compared with Noteć’s 1.61 at home. The visitors hit the target more often, averaging 8 shots on target against the hosts’ 6.67, but their shooting accuracy is lower: 10% versus 15%. With attacking potential broadly similar and a clear gap in their recent defensive records, Noteć are slight favorites.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS landed in 75% of Flota’s matches and 33% of Noteć’s, while the figure stood at 60% for both teams across their last 5 games. The strongest argument for a home goal is the visitors’ defense: Flota concede an average of 2.0 goals per game this season, rising to 2.8 over their last 5 matches, and have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Noteć, meanwhile, concede an average of 1.5 goals, while Flota score 1.5 and generate 1.75 xG per match, giving the visitors a genuine chance of finding the net. Caution is warranted because Noteć have failed to score in 33% of their matches, and their xG has fallen to 0.96 over the last 5 games. Even so, Flota’s defensive frailties and both teams’ recent scoring form point to a goal at each end as the more likely outcome.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal points to at least two goals: this line was beaten in 83% of Noteć’s matches and 100% of Flota’s. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored, while the visitors concede 2.0; in addition, Flota have conceded 14 goals in their last 5 matches, or 2.8 per game. Flota also have scoring potential, with an average xG of 1.75 compared with the 1.61 xG conceded by Noteć. An expected total of 3.35 goals supports Over 1.5, although higher lines are less certain: Over 2.5 goals landed in 33% of the hosts’ matches and 75% of the visitors’ matches.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time appears the most likely outcome: Noteć were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Flota did so in 2 of 5; both teams averaged just 0.2 first-half goals over that period. After the break, the hosts have a better chance of turning the game in their favor, having scored an average of 1.17 goals in second halves over the season, compared with Flota's 1.0. Noteć's case is also strengthened by their opponents' recent defensive form: Flota conceded an average of 2.8 goals in their last five matches, compared with 1.4 for the hosts. However, the X/1 pick is far from certain, as Flota have won 50% of their matches this season, compared with Noteć's 33%, and average 8 shots on target per match to the hosts' 5.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

-1Possession (%)-1
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
-1Shots-1
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
-1Shots on target-1
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
0xG0
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
-1Corners-1
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
0Dangerous attacks0
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
-1Fouls-1
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
-1Cards-1
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
1.5Goals scored / game1.5
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
1.5Goals allowed / game1.7
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
44%Average possession26%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
5Shots on target / game3.2
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.1Shots per game6.8
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
5Shots on target3.2
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
11.5%Shot conversion22.1%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
44%Possession26%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
1.62xG for1.72
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
2xG against1.62
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

Shooting quality

Noteć Czarnków: BalancedFlota Świnoujście: Counter-attacking
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
Accuracy (shots on target)38%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.25
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Noteć Czarnków
LWLDL
Season result split
40% W10% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-5
1.30 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
LWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Flota Świnoujście
LWDLL
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-4
1.40 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
WDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.80BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Noteć Czarnków is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - Noteć Czarnków · 1.7 goals / game - Flota Świnoujście

Noteć Czarnków scoring profile: very strong

Noteć Czarnków scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Flota Świnoujście keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

Flota Świnoujście scoring profile: strong

Flota Świnoujście scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).

15Goals scored (season)15
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
15Goals conceded (season)17
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
3Average goals per game3.2
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
7Goals conceded (last 5)14
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal70%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
40%2 goals40%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
40%3 goals20%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
0%4 goals10%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal80%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
50%2 goals30%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
10%3 goals20%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
10%4 goals20%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
Flota Świnoujście - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 10 games
73%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
10%BTTS in both halves0%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
40%Scored in both halves30%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
60%BTTS - last 560%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
10%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Noteć Czarnków is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / game - Noteć Czarnków · 1.3 pts / game - Flota Świnoujście

Noteć Czarnków - half-time state
30% leading50% draw20% trailing
Flota Świnoujście - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per game (1st half)1.3
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)1
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
0.7Average goals (1st half)1.4
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
80%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
60%No goal before half-time60%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per game (2nd half)1.4
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
1.1Goals scored (2nd half)1.1
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
2.3Average goals (2nd half)1.8
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
30%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
30%No goal after half-time40%
Noteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście

Noteć Czarnków - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
14
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.9

Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Flota Świnoujście - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Noteć Czarnków - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.21.2
Average goals per game0.42.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Flota Świnoujście - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game2.00.8
Average goals per game2.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-90
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Noteć Czarnków
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
5
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Flota Świnoujście
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Noteć Czarnków

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
60% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
60%

Flota Świnoujście

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).

Teams vs league

Noteć CzarnkówLigaFlota Świnoujście
Average goals per game▼ 3.003.66▼ 3.20
Both teams scored▼ 50%73%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 60%66%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 30%15%▲ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%81%▼ 70%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%85%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.66
Average goals per game
73%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
15%
Clean sheets
1.92
Home goals / game
1.73
Away goals / game
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
9%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
66%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

—Tobiasz Starosta⚽ 1

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Noteć CzarnkówGoalTobiasz Starosta

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Noteć Czarnków's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Flota Świnoujście. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Flota Świnoujście
2 : 4
Noteć Czarnków
Noteć Czarnków
1 : 1
Flota Świnoujście

FAQ

What was the result of Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście?

The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Noteć Czarnków 3:0 Flota Świnoujście. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Noteć Czarnków and Flota Świnoujście?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Noteć Czarnków won 1, Flota Świnoujście won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście?

Noteć Czarnków score 1.50 goals per game on average and Flota Świnoujście 1.50. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Noteć Czarnków's matches and 50% of Flota Świnoujście's.

What form are Noteć Czarnków and Flota Świnoujście in?

Over the last 5 games Noteć Czarnków have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Flota Świnoujście 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.