Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: match statistics
Noteć Czarnków showcases a decidedly better form and overall match record this season. The hosts have won 8 games with a goal difference of 29:28, whereas Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has only 4 victories and a much worse 16:38 goal difference. The key factor is the xG advantage – Noteć averages 2.37 xG in home matches compared to just 1.01 xG for their opponents, indicating dominance in chance creation. On the road, Tłuchowia concedes an average of 2.1 goals per match and holds only a 30% win rate, which, coupled with a -10 goal difference, confirms their defensive frailties. The recent form of both teams (1.8 PPG for the hosts vs 0.8 for the visitors) and Noteć's higher efficiency (15% vs 11%) further advocate for the home side. Taking all statistics into account, a win for Noteć Czarnków is the most probable scenario for this encounter.
Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Noteć Czarnków played against Tłuchowia Tłuchowo in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Noteć Czarnków has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Noteć Czarnków scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 1.43. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo scores 0.80 and allows 1.90. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Noteć Czarnków's games and 40% of Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 55%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Noteć Czarnków has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.32 per game. Noteć Czarnków takes 10.4 shots per game, while Tłuchowia Tłuchowo takes 7.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Noteć Czarnków leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.30 after halftime.
When the teams score
Noteć Czarnków's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Tłuchowia Tłuchowo, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 2 games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Noteć Czarnków showcases a decidedly better form and overall match record this season. The hosts have won 8 games with a goal difference of 29:28, whereas Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has only 4 victories and a much worse 16:38 goal difference. The key factor is the xG advantage – Noteć averages 2.37 xG in home matches compared to just 1.01 xG for their opponents, indicating dominance in chance creation. On the road, Tłuchowia concedes an average of 2.1 goals per match and holds only a 30% win rate, which, coupled with a -10 goal difference, confirms their defensive frailties. The recent form of both teams (1.8 PPG for the hosts vs 0.8 for the visitors) and Noteć's higher efficiency (15% vs 11%) further advocate for the home side. Taking all statistics into account, a win for Noteć Czarnków is the most probable scenario for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Noteć Czarnków | Tłuchowia Tłuchowo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Noteć Czarnków is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Noteć Czarnków · 0.8 pts / game - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Noteć Czarnków is 96% better for: goals scored per game.
1.57 goals / game - Noteć Czarnków · 0.8 goals / game - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Noteć Czarnków is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Noteć Czarnków · 1.9 goals / game - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Noteć Czarnków scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Tłuchowia Tłuchowo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo scores in 55% of games (11 of 20 meczów), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Noteć Czarnków
Over / Under - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Noteć Czarnków - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 20%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Noteć Czarnków
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Noteć Czarnków | Liga | Tłuchowia Tłuchowo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.00 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 56% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Noteć Czarnków's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Tłuchowia Tłuchowo. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Noteć Czarnków 1:1 Tłuchowia Tłuchowo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
Noteć Czarnków score 1.57 goals per game on average and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 0.80. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Noteć Czarnków's matches and 40% of Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's.
What form are Noteć Czarnków and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo in?
Over the last 5 games Noteć Czarnków have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
The statistical background for Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.