England - Premier LeagueThe City GroundData current as of October 15, 2026

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nottingham Forest plays Arsenal in Premier League (England). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: The City Ground.

Recent form

Nottingham Forest has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Arsenal has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Nottingham Forest scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.33. Arsenal scores 1.67 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Nottingham Forest's games and 33% of Arsenal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nottingham Forest has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.56 per game. Nottingham Forest takes 17.7 shots per game, while Arsenal takes 13.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Nottingham Forest leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Arsenal leads at halftime in 17% and scores 1.17 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nottingham Forest's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Arsenal, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premier League games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(5.69)
(4.26)
(1.65)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Nottingham ForestArsenal
0.83Goals scored / game1.67
Nottingham ForestArsenal
1.33Goals allowed / game0.83
Nottingham ForestArsenal
49%Average possession59%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
3.83Shots on target / game5
Nottingham ForestArsenal

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17.67Shots per game13
Nottingham ForestArsenal
3.83Shots on target5
Nottingham ForestArsenal
4.7%Shot conversion12.8%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
49%Possession59%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
1.75xG for1.56
Nottingham ForestArsenal
1.29xG against1.17
Nottingham ForestArsenal

Shooting quality

Nottingham Forest: AttackingArsenal: Balanced
Nottingham ForestArsenal
Accuracy (shots on target)22%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Arsenal is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Nottingham Forest · 2.4 pts / game - Arsenal

Nottingham Forest
DDWLL
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 at home
0-1-2
LDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Arsenal
WWWLW
Season result split
83% W0% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-1
2.50 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 away
2-0-1
WWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arsenal is 101% better for: goals scored per game.

0.83 goals / game - Nottingham Forest · 1.67 goals / game - Arsenal

Arsenal is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.33 goals / game - Nottingham Forest · 0.83 goals / game - Arsenal

Nottingham Forest scoring profile: mixed

Nottingham Forest scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 games), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 games).

Arsenal scoring profile: very strong

Arsenal scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).

5Goals scored (season)10
Nottingham ForestArsenal
8Goals conceded (season)5
Nottingham ForestArsenal
2.17Average goals per game2.5
Nottingham ForestArsenal
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Nottingham ForestArsenal
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
Nottingham ForestArsenal

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal83%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
33%2 goals67%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
0%3 goals17%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
0%4 goals0%
Nottingham ForestArsenal

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal50%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
33%2 goals17%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
17%3 goals17%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
0%4 goals0%
Nottingham ForestArsenal

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
17%Scored in both halves33%
Nottingham ForestArsenal

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
60%BTTS - last 540%
Nottingham ForestArsenal

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Nottingham ForestArsenal

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Nottingham ForestArsenal

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nottingham Forest - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing
Arsenal - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per game (1st half)1.17
Nottingham ForestArsenal
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Nottingham ForestArsenal
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Nottingham ForestArsenal
0.67Average goals (1st half)1
Nottingham ForestArsenal
83%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
67%No goal before half-time67%
Nottingham ForestArsenal

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per game (2nd half)2.5
Nottingham ForestArsenal
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1.17
Nottingham ForestArsenal
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Nottingham ForestArsenal
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Nottingham ForestArsenal
17%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Nottingham ForestArsenal
67%No goal after half-time17%
Nottingham ForestArsenal

Nottingham Forest - second-half results

17% W17% D67% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Arsenal - second-half results

83% W0% D17% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding488%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 83%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nottingham Forest - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.80
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Arsenal - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.40
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nottingham Forest
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Arsenal
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
4
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
79%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nottingham Forest

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.96
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.92
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Arsenal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Nottingham ForestLigaArsenal
Average goals per game▼ 2.172.95▼ 2.50
Both teams scored▼ 50%55%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%57%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 17%27%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 33%58%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time• 83%83%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Nottingham Forest's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Arsenal. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Nottingham Forest FC
0 : 0
Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC
3 : 0
Nottingham Forest FC

FAQ

When do Nottingham Forest and Arsenal play?

Nottingham Forest face Arsenal on October 18, 2026 in Premier League at The City Ground. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nottingham Forest won 0, Arsenal won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?

Nottingham Forest score 0.83 goals per game on average and Arsenal 1.67. The Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nottingham Forest's matches and 33% of Arsenal's.

What form are Nottingham Forest and Arsenal in?

Over the last 5 games Nottingham Forest have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Arsenal 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?

The statistical background for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.