Nottingham Forest vs Burnley: match statistics
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nottingham Forest play Burnley in Premier League (England). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Nottingham Forest: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Burnley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nottingham Forest scores 1.26 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Burnley scores 1.00 and concedes 1.97. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nottingham Forest 47%, Burnley 58%. Over 2.5: Nottingham Forest 53%, Burnley 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Nottingham Forest has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.10. Nottingham Forest: 12.5 shots per match, Burnley: 9.3.
Match halves
Nottingham Forest: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.76. Burnley: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Nottingham Forest: 76-90+ (13 goals). Burnley: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back Nottingham Forest to win (1). In their last 5 matches the hosts have scored 8 goals and average 2.2 points per game, while Burnley have only 4 goals and 0.2 points per game in the same period. Forest create significantly more chances at home: on average 15.19 shots and 3.81 on target with xG 1.68, versus Burnley’s 8.19 shots, 3.06 on target and xG 1.00 away. Defensively Nottingham also performs better — they concede 1.25 goals per home game on average and only 3 goals in the last 5 matches, whereas Burnley concede 2.38 goals on the road and as many as 11 goals in their last 5. The hosts’ risk should be noted: only 0.88 goals per home game and 56% of matches without scoring reduce confidence in the outcome, but the advantage in xG (1.68 vs 1.00), chance volume and form gives Nottingham the higher probability.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nottingham Forest | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nottingham Forest is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nottingham Forest · 0.4 pts / match - Burnley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nottingham Forest is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Nottingham Forest · 1 goals / match - Burnley
Nottingham Forest is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Nottingham Forest · 1.97 goals / match - Burnley
Nottingham Forest scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 38 matches).
Burnley scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nottingham Forest
Over / Under — Burnley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nottingham Forest is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Nottingham Forest · 0.66 pts / match - Burnley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nottingham Forest | Liga | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 - 0 Burnley. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Burnley?
The Premier League match finished Nottingham Forest 4:1 Burnley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nottingham Forest vs Burnley?
Nottingham Forest score 1.26 goals per game on average and Burnley 1.00. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Nottingham Forest's matches and 58% of Burnley's.
What form are Nottingham Forest and Burnley in?
Over the last 5 games Nottingham Forest have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Burnley 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nottingham Forest vs Burnley?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.