Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly balanced, justifying a draw prediction. Nottingham Forest shows better recent form over the last five matches (1.6 PPG) with two wins, while Crystal Palace is in a crisis with just 0.2 PPG and four consecutive defeats. However, the hosts have poor efficiency in home matches (27% win rate, 55% loss rate) and often fail to score (55% FTS%). Crystal Palace demonstrates solidity in away games with a goal difference of 0 and a 45% win rate, making them a dangerous opponent despite their poor recent form. Expected xG values indicate a slight advantage for the hosts (1.62 vs 1.14), but the difference is insufficient for a certain victory. Considering the statistics, the most probable outcomes appear to be a draw or a narrow win for either side.
Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nottingham Forest played against Crystal Palace in Premier League (England). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Nottingham Forest has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Crystal Palace has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Nottingham Forest scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.48. Crystal Palace scores 1.04 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Nottingham Forest's games and 48% of Crystal Palace's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 48%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nottingham Forest has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.32 per game. Nottingham Forest takes 11.9 shots per game, while Crystal Palace takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Nottingham Forest leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Crystal Palace leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nottingham Forest's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Crystal Palace, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly balanced, justifying a draw prediction. Nottingham Forest shows better recent form over the last five matches (1.6 PPG) with two wins, while Crystal Palace is in a crisis with just 0.2 PPG and four consecutive defeats. However, the hosts have poor efficiency in home matches (27% win rate, 55% loss rate) and often fail to score (55% FTS%). Crystal Palace demonstrates solidity in away games with a goal difference of 0 and a 45% win rate, making them a dangerous opponent despite their poor recent form. Expected xG values indicate a slight advantage for the hosts (1.62 vs 1.14), but the difference is insufficient for a certain victory. Considering the statistics, the most probable outcomes appear to be a draw or a narrow win for either side.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nottingham Forest | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nottingham Forest is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Nottingham Forest · 0.4 pts / game - Crystal Palace
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crystal Palace is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.48 goals / game - Nottingham Forest · 1.22 goals / game - Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest scores in 52% of games (12 of 23 meczów), while Crystal Palace keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).
Crystal Palace scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 meczów), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nottingham Forest
Over / Under - Crystal Palace
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crystal Palace is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / game - Nottingham Forest · 1.52 pts / game - Crystal Palace
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Crystal Palace - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nottingham Forest | Liga | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.48 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Nottingham Forest's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Crystal Palace. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?
The Premier League match finished Nottingham Forest 1:1 Crystal Palace. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?
Nottingham Forest score 1.00 goals per game on average and Crystal Palace 1.04. The Premier League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Nottingham Forest's matches and 48% of Crystal Palace's.
What form are Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace in?
Over the last 5 games Nottingham Forest have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Crystal Palace 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?
The statistical background for Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.