Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool: match statistics
Liverpool are in significantly better form, having earned 12 points in their last 5 matches (4 wins) compared to Nottingham Forest's 8 points. The hosts occupy a very low 17th position in the table with only a 23% home win rate, while Liverpool show a 38% away efficiency. Nottingham have as many as 54% of home matches without a goal, which, given their average of 1 goal per home game, constitutes a serious offensive issue. Liverpool control the game with 61% possession away from home and score an average of 1.54 goals, while also having a better shot conversion rate (11% vs 7%). The difference in xG (1.53 vs 1.72 for the hosts) and the goal difference (-5 for Forest, -1 for Liverpool) further favor the visitors. Taking all statistics into account, Liverpool have a clear advantage and should secure all three points in this encounter.
Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nottingham Forest played against Liverpool in Premier League (England). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Nottingham Forest has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Liverpool has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Nottingham Forest scores 0.96 goals per game and allows 1.46. Liverpool scores 1.58 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Nottingham Forest's games and 62% of Liverpool's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 62%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Liverpool has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.49 per game. Nottingham Forest takes 12.8 shots per game, while Liverpool takes 15.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Nottingham Forest leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Liverpool leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.08 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nottingham Forest's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Liverpool, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Liverpool are in significantly better form, having earned 12 points in their last 5 matches (4 wins) compared to Nottingham Forest's 8 points. The hosts occupy a very low 17th position in the table with only a 23% home win rate, while Liverpool show a 38% away efficiency. Nottingham have as many as 54% of home matches without a goal, which, given their average of 1 goal per home game, constitutes a serious offensive issue. Liverpool control the game with 61% possession away from home and score an average of 1.54 goals, while also having a better shot conversion rate (11% vs 7%). The difference in xG (1.53 vs 1.72 for the hosts) and the goal difference (-5 for Forest, -1 for Liverpool) further favor the visitors. Taking all statistics into account, Liverpool have a clear advantage and should secure all three points in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nottingham Forest | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Liverpool is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Nottingham Forest · 1.4 pts / game - Liverpool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liverpool is 65% better for: goals scored per game.
0.96 goals / game - Nottingham Forest · 1.58 goals / game - Liverpool
Liverpool is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.46 goals / game - Nottingham Forest · 1.35 goals / game - Liverpool
Nottingham Forest scores in 54% of games (14 of 26 meczów), while Liverpool keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).
Liverpool scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 meczów), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nottingham Forest
Over / Under - Liverpool
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Liverpool is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / game - Nottingham Forest · 1.31 pts / game - Liverpool
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Liverpool - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nottingham Forest | Liga | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.42 | 2.76 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Nottingham Forest's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Liverpool. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?
The Premier League match finished Nottingham Forest 0:1 Liverpool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?
Nottingham Forest score 0.96 goals per game on average and Liverpool 1.58. The Premier League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Nottingham Forest's matches and 62% of Liverpool's.
What form are Nottingham Forest and Liverpool in?
Over the last 5 games Nottingham Forest have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Liverpool 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.