Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nottingham Forest played against Manchester City in Premier League (England). The game was played on December 27, 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Nottingham Forest has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Manchester City has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Nottingham Forest scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.53. Manchester City scores 2.41 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 29% of Nottingham Forest's games and 41% of Manchester City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 71%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Manchester City has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.45 per game. Nottingham Forest takes 12.3 shots per game, while Manchester City takes 14.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Nottingham Forest leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Manchester City leads at halftime in 71% and scores 1.18 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nottingham Forest's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Manchester City, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premier League games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 2
Second half

Game stats

34Possession (%)66
Nottingham ForestManchester City
7Shots16
Nottingham ForestManchester City
2Shots on target5
Nottingham ForestManchester City
0.83xG1.78
Nottingham ForestManchester City
5Corners5
Nottingham ForestManchester City
33Dangerous attacks58
Nottingham ForestManchester City
5Fouls13
Nottingham ForestManchester City
1Cards2
Nottingham ForestManchester City

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Nottingham ForestManchester City
1Goals scored / game2.41
Nottingham ForestManchester City
1.53Goals allowed / game0.94
Nottingham ForestManchester City
Nottingham ForestManchester City
51%Average possession58%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
3.94Shots on target / game5.53
Nottingham ForestManchester City
Nottingham ForestManchester City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.29Shots per game14.12
Nottingham ForestManchester City
3.94Shots on target5.53
Nottingham ForestManchester City
8.1%Shot conversion17.1%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
51%Possession58%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
1.45xG for1.69
Nottingham ForestManchester City
1.44xG against1.12
Nottingham ForestManchester City

Shooting quality

Nottingham Forest: BalancedManchester City: Dominant
Nottingham ForestManchester City
Accuracy (shots on target)32%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Manchester City is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Nottingham Forest · 3 pts / game - Manchester City

Nottingham Forest
LWLWL
Season result split
29% W18% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-9
1.06 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%
Manchester City
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
71% W6% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-1-4
2.18 pts / game · goal difference +25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Manchester City is 141% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Nottingham Forest · 2.41 goals / game - Manchester City

Manchester City is 63% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.53 goals / game - Nottingham Forest · 0.94 goals / game - Manchester City

Nottingham Forest scoring profile: mixed

Nottingham Forest scores in 47% of games (8 of 17 meczów), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 meczów).

Manchester City scoring profile: very strong

Manchester City scores in 88% of games (15 of 17 meczów), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 meczów).

17Goals scored (season)41
Nottingham ForestManchester City
26Goals conceded (season)16
Nottingham ForestManchester City
2.53Average goals per game3.35
Nottingham ForestManchester City
4Goals scored (last 5)17
Nottingham ForestManchester City
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Nottingham ForestManchester City

How often they score at least...

47%1 goal88%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
29%2 goals65%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
24%3 goals59%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
0%4 goals18%
Nottingham ForestManchester City

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal53%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
47%2 goals29%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
24%3 goals6%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
0%4 goals6%
Nottingham ForestManchester City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

29%
Nottingham Forest - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 17 meczów
53%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time18%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
18%Scored in both halves59%
Nottingham ForestManchester City

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
35%Min. 3 goals without BTTS35%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
0%BTTS - last 540%
Nottingham ForestManchester City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time53%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Nottingham ForestManchester City

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Nottingham ForestManchester City

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Manchester City is 160% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / game - Nottingham Forest · 2.29 pts / game - Manchester City

Nottingham Forest - half-time state
18% leading35% draw47% trailing
Manchester City - half-time state
71% leading18% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per game (1st half)2.29
Nottingham ForestManchester City
0.41Goals scored (1st half)1.24
Nottingham ForestManchester City
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
Nottingham ForestManchester City
1.12Average goals (1st half)1.59
Nottingham ForestManchester City
41%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
71%No goal before half-time24%
Nottingham ForestManchester City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per game (2nd half)1.76
Nottingham ForestManchester City
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)1.18
Nottingham ForestManchester City
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Nottingham ForestManchester City
1.41Average goals (2nd half)1.76
Nottingham ForestManchester City
53%Clean sheet after half-time71%
Nottingham ForestManchester City
65%No goal after half-time29%
Nottingham ForestManchester City

Nottingham Forest - second-half results

35% W24% D41% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Manchester City - second-half results

53% W18% D29% L
39
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+15
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 71% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nottingham Forest - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Manchester City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.001.80
Goals scored / game2.01.4
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game2.22.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+9+2
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 10

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nottingham Forest
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
8
31-45
5
4
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Manchester City
ScoredConceded
5
0
0-15
5
2
16-30
11
4
31-45
5
2
46-60
10
5
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nottingham Forest

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Manchester City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.90
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.72
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
198%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Nottingham ForestLigaManchester City
Average goals per game 2.532.82 3.35
Both teams scored 29%53% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%56% 71%
Clean sheets 18%26% 47%
Goal before half-time 76%72% 88%
Goal after half-time 76%81% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.82
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Manchester CityYellow cardRúben dos Santos Gato Alves Dias
  2. Nottingham ForestYellow cardElliot Anderson
  3. Manchester CityGoalTijani ReijndersAssist: Mathis Ryan Cherki
  4. Manchester CityYellow cardNico O'Reilly
  5. Manchester CitySubstitutionOn: Sávio Moreira de OliveiraOff: Tijani Reijnders
  6. Manchester CityGoalMathis Ryan CherkiAssist: Joško Gvardiol
  7. Nottingham ForestSubstitutionOn: Taiwo Micheal AwoniyiOff: Nicolás Martín Domínguez
  8. Manchester CitySubstitutionOn: Nathan Benjamin AkéOff: Mathis Ryan Cherki
  9. Nottingham ForestSubstitutionOn: Dilane BakwaOff: Callum James Hudson-Odoi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Robert JonesMatches officiated: 18
4.17Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 261%Home wins17%Draws22%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

The Premier League match finished Nottingham Forest 1:2 Manchester City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Nottingham Forest score 1.00 goals per game on average and Manchester City 2.41. The Premier League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Nottingham Forest's matches and 41% of Manchester City's.

What form are Nottingham Forest and Manchester City in?

Over the last 5 games Nottingham Forest have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Manchester City 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

The statistical background for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.