Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: match statistics
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nottingham Forest play Manchester City in Premier League (England). The match date is 27 December 2025 at 13:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Nottingham Forest: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Manchester City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nottingham Forest scores 1.26 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Manchester City scores 2.03 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nottingham Forest 47%, Manchester City 50%. Over 2.5: Nottingham Forest 53%, Manchester City 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester City has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.44. Nottingham Forest: 12.5 shots per match, Manchester City: 15.6.
Match halves
Nottingham Forest: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.76. Manchester City: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Nottingham Forest: 76-90+ (13 goals). Manchester City: 31-45+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Nottingham Forest · 2.03 goals / match - Manchester City
Manchester City is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Nottingham Forest · 0.92 goals / match - Manchester City
Nottingham Forest scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Manchester City scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nottingham Forest
Over / Under — Manchester City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 118% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Nottingham Forest · 2.18 pts / match - Manchester City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 61%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (22 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nottingham Forest | Liga | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 - 0 Manchester City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
The Premier League match finished Nottingham Forest 1:2 Manchester City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Nottingham Forest score 1.26 goals per game on average and Manchester City 2.03. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Nottingham Forest's matches and 50% of Manchester City's.
What form are Nottingham Forest and Manchester City in?
Over the last 5 games Nottingham Forest have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Manchester City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
The statistical background for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.