England - EFL League Two01/01/2026, 03:00 PMData current as of September 12, 2026

Notts County vs Accrington Stanley: match statistics

Notts County

0 : 1half-time 0:0

Accrington Stanley

165%(1.62)

X22%(3.75)

213%(4.30)

BTTS Over/Under HT/FT

Pick: 1Lost

Pick score:56.16

Value:5.30%

Notts County exhibits superior home form, boasting a 55% home win rate and an impressive +10 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 2 goals per home match, failing to score in just 9% of games, highlighting their potent attack. Conversely, Accrington Stanley struggles on the road with only an 18% away win rate, failing to score in 45% of matches, and holding a negative goal difference of -6. The disparity in possession (59% vs 47%) and shot conversion (17% vs 8%) further favors the home side. While both teams show similar form over the last five games, Notts County's home dominance combined with Accrington's away woes makes the hosts the clear favorites for this fixture.

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Notts County vs Accrington Stanley: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Notts County played against Accrington Stanley in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on January 1, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Notts County has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Accrington Stanley has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Notts County scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 1.09. Accrington Stanley scores 1.13 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 61% of Notts County's games and 48% of Accrington Stanley's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 35%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Accrington Stanley has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.26 per game. Notts County takes 10.6 shots per game, while Accrington Stanley takes 13.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Notts County leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. Accrington Stanley leads at halftime in 48% and scores 0.57 after halftime.

When the teams score

Notts County's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Accrington Stanley, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0

First half

0 : 1

Second half

Game stats

54Possession (%)46

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

8Shots9

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

4Shots on target5

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

1.17xG1.19

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

8Corners5

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

52Dangerous attacks35

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

11Fouls13

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

5Cards4

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.7Points per game1.3

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

1.57Goals scored / game1.13

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

1.09Goals allowed / game1.13

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

1.26xG for1.44

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

55%Average possession49%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

4.04Shots on target / game4.13

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

30%Clean sheets26%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

61%Both teams scored48%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.61Shots per game13

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

4.04Shots on target4.13

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

14.8%Shot conversion8.7%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

55%Possession49%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

1.26xG for1.44

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

1.21xG against1.29

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

Shooting quality

Notts County: Efficient finishingAccrington Stanley: Balanced

	Notts County	Accrington Stanley
Accuracy (shots on target)	38%	32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.12	0.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.39	0.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Accrington Stanley is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Notts County · 1.8 pts / game - Accrington Stanley

Notts County

WWDLD

Season result split

48% W26% D26% L

Season (W-D-L)

11-6-6

1.70 pts / game · goal difference +11

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-2-1

1.60 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

6-3-2

Last 5 at home

2-2-1

WDLWD

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Accrington Stanley

WLLWW

Season result split

35% W26% D39% L

Season (W-D-L)

8-6-9

1.30 pts / game · goal difference 0

Last 5 (W-D-L)

3-0-2

1.80 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

2-3-6

Last 5 away

1-2-2

LDDWL

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Notts County is 39% better for: goals scored per game.

1.57 goals / game - Notts County · 1.13 goals / game - Accrington Stanley

Notts County scoring profile: very strong

Notts County scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).

Accrington Stanley scoring profile: strong

Accrington Stanley scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).

36Goals scored (season)26

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

25Goals conceded (season)26

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

2.65Average goals per game2.26

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

6Goals scored (last 5)5

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

5Goals conceded (last 5)4

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

Notts County

30%

Clean sheets7 of 23 meczów

13%

No goal3 of 23 meczów

Accrington Stanley

26%

Clean sheets6 of 23 meczów

30%

No goal7 of 23 meczów

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal70%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

43%2 goals26%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

17%3 goals13%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

9%4 goals4%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal74%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

35%2 goals30%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

4%3 goals9%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

0%4 goals0%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

61%

Notts County - BTTS14 of 23 meczów

48%

Accrington Stanley - BTTS11 of 23 meczów

55%

League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time9%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

4%BTTS in both halves4%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

22%Scored in both halves26%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

40%BTTS - last 520%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

96%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)96%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

78%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)70%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

52%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)35%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

30%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)17%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

9%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)4%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

Over / Under - Notts County

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 96%Under 4%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 78%Under 22%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 52%Under 48%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 30%Under 70%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 9%Under 91%

Over / Under - Accrington Stanley

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 96%Under 4%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 70%Under 30%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 35%Under 65%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 17%Under 83%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 4%Under 96%

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

35%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

13%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

2nd half

96%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

52%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

4%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Accrington Stanley is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / game - Notts County · 1.65 pts / game - Accrington Stanley

Notts County - half-time state

26% leading57% draw17% trailing

Accrington Stanley - half-time state

48% leading22% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per game (1st half)1.65

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.57

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.48

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

1.13Average goals (1st half)1.04

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

57%Clean sheet before half-time61%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

57%No goal before half-time48%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per game (2nd half)1.17

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

0.91Goals scored (2nd half)0.57

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

1.52Average goals (2nd half)1.22

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

48%Clean sheet after half-time52%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

35%No goal after half-time57%

Notts CountyAccrington Stanley

Notts County - second-half results

43% W26% D30% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.35

PPG before half-time

Lead holding185%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Accrington Stanley - second-half results

26% W39% D35% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

-2

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.65

PPG before half-time

Lead holding73%

Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 35%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Notts County - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.40	1.40
Goals scored / game	0.6	0.6
Goals allowed / game	0.4	0.6
Average goals per game	1.0	1.2
1 goal	40%	80%
2 goals	20%	40%
3 goals	20%	0%
Clean sheet	80%	60%
No goal	60%	60%
Goal difference	+1	0

Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

Accrington Stanley - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.60	1.40
Goals scored / game	0.6	0.4
Goals allowed / game	0.4	0.4
Average goals per game	1.0	0.8
1 goal	80%	80%
2 goals	20%	0%
3 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheet	60%	60%
No goal	40%	60%
Goal difference	+1	0

Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Notts County

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Accrington Stanley

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.46

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

1.4 : 1.1

Estimated goal split

home : away

94%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

55%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-100%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

61%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

0:0 risk

about 1 in 25 matches

0-1

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

Notts County

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.05

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.43

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-7.6 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.31

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.12

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

113%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

89%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.10

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.3

Late goals

25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.

25%

Accrington Stanley

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.15

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

-0.15

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-4.5 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.31

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.16

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

92%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

81%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.50

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

0.0

Late goals

23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.

23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

	Notts County	Liga	Accrington Stanley
Average goals per game	• 2.65	2.62	▼ 2.26
Both teams scored	▲ 61%	55%	▼ 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 52%	47%	▼ 35%
Clean sheets	▲ 30%	25%	• 26%
Goal before half-time	▼ 61%	71%	▲ 83%
Goal after half-time	▲ 96%	75%	▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62

Average goals per game

55%

Both teams scored

47%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

25%

Clean sheets

1.39

Home goals / game

1.23

Away goals / game

+13%

Home attack advantage

+12%

Home defensive advantage

+8%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

71%

1 goal

34%

2 goals

12%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

75%

1 goal

43%

2 goals

16%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Starting lineup

1Kelle Roos 4Jacob Mitchell Bedeau🟨 1 5Matthew James Platt🟨 1 8Oliver Norburn 14Tom Iorpenda🟨 1 17Qamaruddin Maziar Kouhyaroff 56'19Matthew Dennis🟨 1 25Nicholas Andrew Tsaroullaoff 71'26Tyrese Shaun Halloff 71'28Lewis Macaraioff 87'29Alassana Jatta🟨 1 · off 56'

Substitutes

2Kellan Sheene Gordonon 71'6Jack Hinchyon 1'10Jodi Joneson 56'11Conor Michael Granton 56'12Lucas Nesson 87'

21Harry Griffithson 1'

47Keanan Bennettson 71'

Away team

Starting lineup

2Donald LoveA 1 · 🟨 1 6Liam Coyle 7Shaun James Whalley⚽ 1 · 🟨 1 10Alex Henderson🟨 1 · off 67'11Isaac Sinclair 13Oliver Wright 14Benn Ward 17Devon Matthews 30Isaac Heathoff 88'38Connor O'Brien 39Josh Woods🟨 1 · off 79'

Substitutes

1Michael Kellyon 1'3Freddie Sasson 88'8Paddy Maddenon 1'18Charlie Catonon 67'20Charlie Daniel Brownon 1'28Séamus Conneelyon 79'

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

11'
Accrington StanleyYellow cardAlex Henderson
16'
Notts CountyYellow cardMatthew James Platt
35'
Accrington StanleyYellow cardJosh Woods
45+3'
Accrington StanleyYellow cardShaun James Whalley
45+3'
Notts CountyYellow cardAlassana Jatta
67'
Accrington StanleySubstitutionOn: Charlie CatonOff: Alex Henderson
70'
Accrington StanleyYellow cardDonald Love
72'
Accrington StanleyGoalShaun James WhalleyAssist: Donald Love
79'
Accrington StanleySubstitutionOn: Séamus ConneelyOff: Josh Woods
87'
Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Lucas NessOff: Lewis Macarai
88'
Accrington StanleySubstitutionOn: Freddie SassOff: Isaac Heath
90'
Notts CountyYellow cardJacob Mitchell Bedeau
90+4'
Notts CountyYellow cardTom Iorpenda
90+6'
Notts CountyYellow cardMatthew Dennis

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeZac Kennard-Kettle

FAQ

What was the result of Notts County vs Accrington Stanley?

The EFL League Two match finished Notts County 0:1 Accrington Stanley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Notts County vs Accrington Stanley?

Notts County score 1.57 goals per game on average and Accrington Stanley 1.13. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Notts County's matches and 48% of Accrington Stanley's.

What form are Notts County and Accrington Stanley in?

Over the last 5 games Notts County have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Accrington Stanley 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Notts County vs Accrington Stanley?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.