Notts County has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Milton Keynes Dons has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Notts County scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.11. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.94 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Notts County's games and 67% of Milton Keynes Dons's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 67%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Milton Keynes Dons has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.30 per game. Notts County takes 10.8 shots per game, while Milton Keynes Dons takes 11.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Notts County leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Milton Keynes Dons leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.11 after halftime.

When the teams score

Notts County's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Milton Keynes Dons, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

2 : 2

First half

1 : 0

Second half

Game stats

42Possession (%)58

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

9Shots15

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

7Shots on target6

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

1.21xG1.65

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

2Corners1

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

20Dangerous attacks38

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

12Fouls16

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

2Cards3

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.72Points per game1.78

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

1.67Goals scored / game1.94

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

1.11Goals allowed / game1.11

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

1.3xG for1.31

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

56%Average possession51%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

4.33Shots on target / game4.17

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

28%Clean sheets28%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

67%Both teams scored67%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.78Shots per game11.22

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

4.33Shots on target4.17

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

15.5%Shot conversion17.3%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

56%Possession51%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

1.3xG for1.31

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

1.2xG against1.24

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Shooting quality

Notts County: Efficient finishingMilton Keynes Dons: Efficient finishing

	Notts County	Milton Keynes Dons
Accuracy (shots on target)	40%	37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.12	0.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.39	0.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Notts County is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Notts County · 1.6 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons

Notts County

WWDLW

Season result split

50% W22% D28% L

Season (W-D-L)

9-4-5

1.72 pts / game · goal difference +10

Last 5 (W-D-L)

3-1-1

2.00 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

5-2-2

Last 5 at home

3-1-1

WWWDL

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Milton Keynes Dons

LDWDW

Season result split

50% W28% D22% L

Season (W-D-L)

9-5-4

1.78 pts / game · goal difference +15

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-2-1

1.60 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

4-4-1

Last 5 away

2-2-1

WWLDD

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Milton Keynes Dons is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - Notts County · 1.94 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons

Notts County scoring profile: very strong

Notts County scores in 94% of games (17 of 18 meczów), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).

Milton Keynes Dons scoring profile: very strong

Milton Keynes Dons scores in 89% of games (16 of 18 meczów), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).

30Goals scored (season)35

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

20Goals conceded (season)20

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

2.78Average goals per game3.06

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

7Goals scored (last 5)9

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

5Goals conceded (last 5)7

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Notts County

28%

Clean sheets5 of 18 meczów

No goal1 of 18 meczów

Milton Keynes Dons

28%

Clean sheets5 of 18 meczów

11%

No goal2 of 18 meczów

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal89%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

44%2 goals67%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

17%3 goals22%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

11%4 goals11%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal72%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

33%2 goals33%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

6%3 goals6%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

0%4 goals0%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

67%

Notts County - BTTS12 of 18 meczów

67%

Milton Keynes Dons - BTTS12 of 18 meczów

57%

League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time11%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

6%BTTS in both halves0%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

22%Scored in both halves44%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

60%BTTS - last 580%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)94%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

78%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)89%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

61%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)67%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

33%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)39%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

6%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)17%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Over / Under - Notts County

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 78%Under 22%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 61%Under 39%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 33%Under 67%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 6%Under 94%

Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 94%Under 6%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 89%Under 11%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 67%Under 33%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 39%Under 61%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 17%Under 83%

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

39%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

11%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

56%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

6%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Milton Keynes Dons is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / game - Notts County · 1.72 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons

Notts County - half-time state

28% leading50% draw22% trailing

Milton Keynes Dons - half-time state

50% leading22% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)1.72

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.83

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.56

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

1.17Average goals (1st half)1.39

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

50%Clean sheet before half-time67%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

56%No goal before half-time39%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

After half-time (2nd half)

1.61Points per game (2nd half)1.78

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

1Goals scored (2nd half)1.11

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

1.61Average goals (2nd half)1.67

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

44%Clean sheet after half-time56%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

28%No goal after half-time28%

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Notts County - second-half results

44% W28% D28% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.33

PPG before half-time

Lead holding179%

Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results

50% W28% D22% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

+10

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.72

PPG before half-time

Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Notts County - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.20	1.80
Goals scored / game	0.6	0.8
Goals allowed / game	0.4	0.6
Average goals per game	1.0	1.4
1 goal	60%	100%
2 goals	40%	40%
3 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheet	60%	60%
No goal	60%	40%
Goal difference	+1	+1

Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

Milton Keynes Dons - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.80	2.00
Goals scored / game	0.8	1.0
Goals allowed / game	0.8	0.6
Average goals per game	1.6	1.6
1 goal	100%	100%
2 goals	40%	60%
3 goals	20%	0%
Clean sheet	60%	60%
No goal	20%	20%
Goal difference	0	+2

Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing

2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Notts County

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Milton Keynes Dons

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.92

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

1.4 : 1.5

Estimated goal split

home : away

109%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

67%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-100%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

84%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

0:0 risk

about 1 in 100 matches

2-3

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

Notts County

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.10

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.46

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-6.4 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.37

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.09

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

115%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

91%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.28

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.3

Late goals

23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.

23%

Milton Keynes Dons

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.07

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.76

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-8.7 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.63

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.13

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

159%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

77%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.18

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.3

Late goals

26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.

26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

	Notts County	Liga	Milton Keynes Dons
Average goals per game	▲ 2.78	2.67	▲ 3.06
Both teams scored	▲ 67%	57%	▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 61%	49%	▲ 67%
Clean sheets	▲ 28%	24%	▲ 28%
Goal before half-time	▼ 67%	71%	▲ 83%
Goal after half-time	▲ 100%	76%	▲ 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67

Average goals per game

57%

Both teams scored

49%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

24%

Clean sheets

1.45

Home goals / game

1.22

Away goals / game

+19%

Home attack advantage

+16%

Home defensive advantage

+9%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

71%

1 goal

34%

2 goals

13%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

76%

1 goal

44%

2 goals

18%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Starting lineup

1Kelle Roos 4Jacob Mitchell BedeauA 1 5Matthew James Platt 8Oliver Norburn 11Conor Michael Grantoff 73'14Tom Iorpenda⚽ 1 19Matthew Dennis⚽ 1 · 🟨 1 25Nicholas Andrew Tsaroullaoff 73'28Lewis Macarai🟨 1 · off 90'29Alassana Jatta⚽ 1 · off 84'47Keanan Bennetts

Substitutes

2Kellan Sheene Gordonon 84'3Rodney McDonaldon 1'7Mai Traoreon 1'10Jodi Joneson 73'12Lucas Nesson 90'17Qamaruddin Maziar Kouhyaron 73'

21Harry Griffithson 1'

Away team

Starting lineup

1Craig MacGillivray 6Liam Anthony Kellyoff 90'8Alexander Scott Gilbey 11Nathaniel Mendez-Laing⚽ 2 · off 66'13Callum Thomas Owen PatersonA 1 · off 76'15Luke William Offord🟨 1 16Aaron Evans Nemane🟨 1 · off 46'20Kane Thompson-Sommers🟨 1 21Marvin Ekpiteta 22Jon Mellish 23Laurence Maguireoff 67'

Substitutes

2Gethin Wynne Joneson 46'7Daniel Crowleyon 90'10Aaron Graham John Collinson 66'14Joe Tomlinsonon 67'18William Guy Collaron 76'

27Connal Truemanon 1'

34Callum Trippon 1'

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

3'
Milton Keynes DonsGoalNathaniel Mendez-LaingAssist: Callum Thomas Owen Paterson
8'
Notts CountyGoalMatthew DennisAssist: Jacob Mitchell Bedeau
13'
Milton Keynes DonsGoalNathaniel Mendez-Laing
26'
Notts CountyGoalAlassana Jatta
36'
Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardAaron Evans Nemane
45+4'
Notts CountyYellow cardLewis Macarai
46'
Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Gethin Wynne JonesOff: Aaron Evans Nemane
59'
Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardLuke William Offord
66'
Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Aaron Graham John CollinsOff: Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
67'
Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Joe TomlinsonOff: Laurence Maguire
76'
Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: William Guy CollarOff: Callum Thomas Owen Paterson
84'
Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Kellan Sheene GordonOff: Alassana Jatta
88'
Notts CountyGoalTom Iorpenda
90'
Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Daniel CrowleyOff: Liam Anthony Kelly
90'
Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Lucas NessOff: Lewis Macarai
90+5'
Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardKane Thompson-Sommers
90+8'
Notts CountyYellow cardMatthew Dennis

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeAaron Farmer

FAQ

What was the result of Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons?

The EFL League Two match finished Notts County 3:2 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Notts County score 1.67 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.94. The EFL League Two average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Notts County's matches and 67% of Milton Keynes Dons's.

What form are Notts County and Milton Keynes Dons in?

Over the last 5 games Notts County have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.