Notts County vs Newport County: match statistics
Notts County vs Newport County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Notts County play Newport County in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Notts County: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Newport County: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Notts County scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Newport County scores 1.04 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Notts County 53%, Newport County 54%. Over 2.5: Notts County 55%, Newport County 57%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Notts County has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.19. Notts County: 11.0 shots per match, Newport County: 10.8.
Match halves
Notts County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88. Newport County: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Notts County: 76-90+ (18 goals). Newport County: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Notts County are clear favorites: they sit 4th, have 68 goals this season, score 2.00 goals per home match on average and have a +19 home goal differential, while Newport are 22nd with 40 goals and average 1.05 goals away with a -14 differential. Differences over the last 5 matches are evident — Notts scored 12 goals (2.4 avg), with a 3W-2L record and 1.8 points per match, whereas Newport scored 4 goals (0.8 avg) with a 2W-3L record and 1.2 points per match. In terms of chance quality Notts generate 1.47 xG at home, average 5.05 shots on target and 12.25 total shots with a conversion rate of 16%, while Newport away produce 1.03 xG, 2.9 shots on target, 9.4 shots and an 11% conversion. Defensively the hosts also perform better — Notts concede 1.05 goals at home and keep clean sheets in 35% of matches, whereas Newport concede 1.75 goals away, have 15% clean sheets and fail to score in 35% of away games. Considering the advantage in goals (68 vs 40), xG (1.47 vs 1.03), shots on target (5.05 vs 2.9) and form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts in the last 5), I forecast a home win; estimated probabilities: 72% home, 18% draw, 10% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Notts County | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Notts County is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Notts County · 1.8 pts / match - Newport County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Notts County · 1.04 goals / match - Newport County
Notts County is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Notts County · 1.67 goals / match - Newport County
Notts County scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Newport County keeps a clean sheet in 15% (7 of 46 matches).
Newport County scores in 63% of matches (29 of 46 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 49 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Notts County
Over / Under — Newport County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Notts County is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.49 pts / match - Notts County · 0.83 pts / match - Newport County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Newport County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Notts County
Newport County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Notts County | Liga | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Notts County 0 - 1 - 0 Newport County. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Notts County vs Newport County?
The EFL League Two match finished Notts County 3:1 Newport County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Notts County vs Newport County?
Notts County score 1.59 goals per game on average and Newport County 1.04. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Notts County's matches and 54% of Newport County's.
What form are Notts County and Newport County in?
Over the last 5 games Notts County have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Newport County 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Notts County vs Newport County?
The statistical background for Notts County vs Newport County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.