Notts County vs Salford City: match statistics
Notts County vs Salford City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Notts County play Salford City in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 25 May 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Wembley Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Notts County: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Salford City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Notts County scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Salford City scores 1.33 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Notts County 53%, Salford City 49%. Over 2.5: Notts County 55%, Salford City 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Salford City has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.34. Notts County: 11.0 shots per match, Salford City: 13.4.
Match halves
Notts County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88. Salford City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Notts County: 76-90+ (18 goals). Salford City: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Notts County are favorites in this match based on strong home metrics: the hosts score 1.88 goals per home match versus Salford’s 1.21 on the road, and their home xG is 1.45 compared to the visitors’ 1.42. The hosts average 5 shots on target per home match versus Salford’s 3.88 on away trips and have a higher finishing rate (16% vs 10%), translating to 75 goals for Notts this season versus 65 for Salford. Defensively Notts also look better at home: they concede 1.04 goals per match with an xG against of 1.11, while Salford concedes 1.17 goals on the road with xG against 1.38 and have a lower clean sheet rate (33% vs 21%). For balance, Salford have been in better recent form over the last 5 matches — 3 wins and 2 draws, 8 goals and an average of 2.2 points per match, versus Notts’ 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (4 goals, 1.6 points). Considering finishing efficiency and Notts’ home advantage, I assess the probabilities as: Home win 55%, Draw 25%, Away win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Notts County | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Notts County is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Notts County · 1.6 pts / match - Salford City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Notts County · 1.33 goals / match - Salford City
Notts County is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Notts County · 1.16 goals / match - Salford City
Notts County scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Salford City keeps a clean sheet in 31% (15 of 49 matches).
Salford City scores in 71% of matches (35 of 49 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 49 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Notts County
Over / Under — Salford City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Salford City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Notts County
Salford City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Notts County | Liga | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.57 | • 2.49 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Notts County 0 - 0 - 2 Salford City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Notts County vs Salford City?
The EFL League Two match finished Notts County 3:0 Salford City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Notts County and Salford City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Notts County won 0, Salford City won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Notts County vs Salford City?
Notts County score 1.59 goals per game on average and Salford City 1.33. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Notts County's matches and 49% of Salford City's.
What form are Notts County and Salford City in?
Over the last 5 games Notts County have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Salford City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Notts County vs Salford City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.