Novara vs AlbinoLeffe: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest with a draw being the favored scenario. Novara displays a very high percentage of draws at home (54%), confirmed by their recent form of 4 draws in the last 5 home games. The hosts possess a better xG record in home matches (1.52 to 1.18), yet their low conversion rate (7%) and high percentage of goalless games (38%) limit their offensive capabilities. AlbinoLeffe shows better overall form (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), higher conversion (11%), and a higher average of goals scored away (1.08), but simultaneously concedes heavily (1.5 per match). The visitors also draw frequently on the road (42%), and their recent away fixtures reveal difficulties in securing wins. Given the similar possession stats for both teams (52%), Novara's tendency to draw at home, and AlbinoLeffe's defensive instability despite their offensive potential, the most likely outcome is a share of points.
Novara vs AlbinoLeffe: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Novara played against AlbinoLeffe in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on February 11, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Novara has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. AlbinoLeffe has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Novara scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 0.96. AlbinoLeffe scores 1.36 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 2.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Novara's games and 68% of AlbinoLeffe's. The Over 2.5 rates are 24% and 60%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Novara has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.38 per game. Novara takes 11.1 shots per game, while AlbinoLeffe takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Novara leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.36 goals per game after halftime. AlbinoLeffe leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Novara's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For AlbinoLeffe, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.25 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest with a draw being the favored scenario. Novara displays a very high percentage of draws at home (54%), confirmed by their recent form of 4 draws in the last 5 home games. The hosts possess a better xG record in home matches (1.52 to 1.18), yet their low conversion rate (7%) and high percentage of goalless games (38%) limit their offensive capabilities. AlbinoLeffe shows better overall form (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), higher conversion (11%), and a higher average of goals scored away (1.08), but simultaneously concedes heavily (1.5 per match). The visitors also draw frequently on the road (42%), and their recent away fixtures reveal difficulties in securing wins. Given the similar possession stats for both teams (52%), Novara's tendency to draw at home, and AlbinoLeffe's defensive instability despite their offensive potential, the most likely outcome is a share of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | AlbinoLeffe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AlbinoLeffe is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Novara · 1.6 pts / game - AlbinoLeffe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AlbinoLeffe is 55% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Novara · 1.36 goals / game - AlbinoLeffe
Novara is 58% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.96 goals / game - Novara · 1.52 goals / game - AlbinoLeffe
Novara scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while AlbinoLeffe keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 meczów).
AlbinoLeffe scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 meczów), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novara
Over / Under - AlbinoLeffe
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Novara · 1.04 pts / game - AlbinoLeffe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AlbinoLeffe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Novara
AlbinoLeffe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | AlbinoLeffe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.84 | 2.25 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 49% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 39% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 66% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Novara's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against AlbinoLeffe. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs AlbinoLeffe?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 2:2 AlbinoLeffe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs AlbinoLeffe?
Novara score 0.88 goals per game on average and AlbinoLeffe 1.36. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Novara's matches and 68% of AlbinoLeffe's.
What form are Novara and AlbinoLeffe in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and AlbinoLeffe 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs AlbinoLeffe?
The statistical background for Novara vs AlbinoLeffe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.