Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Comunale Silvio PiolaData current as of September 19, 2026

Novara vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Novara vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Novara plays Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game is scheduled for September 20, 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola.

Recent form

Novara has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Athletic Carpi has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Novara scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 1.00. Athletic Carpi scores 1.60 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.16 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Novara's games and 80% of Athletic Carpi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 80%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Athletic Carpi has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.40 per game. Novara takes 12.8 shots per game, while Athletic Carpi takes 10.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Novara leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Athletic Carpi leads at halftime in 80% and scores 0.20 after halftime.

When the teams score

Novara's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Athletic Carpi, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 2.16 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.8Goals scored / game1.6
NovaraAthletic Carpi
1Goals allowed / game2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
38%Average possession45%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
3.2Shots on target / game4.8
NovaraAthletic Carpi

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.8Shots per game10.2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
3.2Shots on target4.8
NovaraAthletic Carpi
6.3%Shot conversion15.7%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
38%Possession45%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
1.4xG for1.48
NovaraAthletic Carpi
1.53xG against1.99
NovaraAthletic Carpi

Shooting quality

Novara: BalancedAthletic Carpi: Counter-attacking
NovaraAthletic Carpi
Accuracy (shots on target)25%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Novara
LDWLD
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Athletic Carpi
LDWLD
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Athletic Carpi is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

0.8 goals / game - Novara · 1.6 goals / game - Athletic Carpi

Novara is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Novara · 2 goals / game - Athletic Carpi

Novara scoring profile: mixed

Novara scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 games), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

Athletic Carpi scoring profile: very strong

Athletic Carpi scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

4Goals scored (season)8
NovaraAthletic Carpi
5Goals conceded (season)10
NovaraAthletic Carpi
1.8Average goals per game3.6
NovaraAthletic Carpi
4Goals scored (last 5)8
NovaraAthletic Carpi
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
NovaraAthletic Carpi

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal100%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
40%2 goals40%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%3 goals20%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%4 goals0%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
20%2 goals80%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%3 goals40%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%4 goals0%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time60%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%BTTS in both halves20%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%Scored in both halves20%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
40%BTTS - last 580%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time60%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

2nd half

40%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Athletic Carpi is 500% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.4 pts / game - Novara · 2.4 pts / game - Athletic Carpi

Novara - half-time state
0% leading40% draw60% trailing
Athletic Carpi - half-time state
80% leading0% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.4Points per game (1st half)2.4
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0Goals scored (1st half)1.4
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0.6Average goals (1st half)2.2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
40%Clean sheet before half-time40%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
100%No goal before half-time0%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per game (2nd half)0.2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.4
NovaraAthletic Carpi
60%Clean sheet after half-time20%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
60%No goal after half-time80%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

Novara - second-half results

40% W60% D0% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.40
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Athletic Carpi - second-half results

0% W20% D80% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding25%

Leads at halftime in 80% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Novara - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.80
Goals scored / game0.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.61.2
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Athletic Carpi - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.400.20
Goals scored / game1.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game2.21.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+3-5
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Novara
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Athletic Carpi
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
6
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
3
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
125%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Athletic Carpi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
167%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

NovaraLigaAthletic Carpi
Average goals per game 1.802.16 3.60
Both teams scored 40%50% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%46% 80%
Clean sheets 20%34% 20%
Goal before half-time 60%58% 100%
Goal after half-time 40%64% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.16
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.20
Home goals / game
0.96
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Novara and Athletic Carpi play?

Novara face Athletic Carpi on September 20, 2026 in Serie C Group A at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Athletic Carpi?

Novara score 0.80 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 1.60. The Serie C Group A average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Novara's matches and 80% of Athletic Carpi's.

What form are Novara and Athletic Carpi in?

Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Athletic Carpi?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.