Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi: match statistics
Novara is showing exceptionally poor form at their own stadium this season, with a win rate of just 20% in home matches and a massive 50% draw rate, indicating difficulties in breaking down rivals in front of their home crowd. The hosts have earned only 0.8 points per match in their last five outings and have not achieved a single victory, confirming their poor form. Dolomiti Bellunesi, despite better recent form (1.8 PPG in the last 5 matches), performs very poorly on the road—only 20% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -10. A key factor is the tendency of both teams to draw: Novara draws 50% of home matches, and the guests 30% of away matches, with both teams failing to score in 40% of their fixtures. Considering the hosts' weak offensive efficiency (0.7 goals per match at home) and the guests' defensive problems away (2 goals conceded on average), I expect a tight, cautious match ending in a split of points.
Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novara play Dolomiti Bellunesi in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 11 January 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Novara: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Dolomiti Bellunesi: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novara scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Dolomiti Bellunesi scores 1.00 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novara 53%, Dolomiti Bellunesi 50%. Over 2.5: Novara 32%, Dolomiti Bellunesi 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Novara has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.30. Novara: 11.6 shots per match, Dolomiti Bellunesi: 10.8.
Match halves
Novara: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50. Dolomiti Bellunesi: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Novara: 61-75 (9 goals). Dolomiti Bellunesi: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Novara is showing exceptionally poor form at their own stadium this season, with a win rate of just 20% in home matches and a massive 50% draw rate, indicating difficulties in breaking down rivals in front of their home crowd. The hosts have earned only 0.8 points per match in their last five outings and have not achieved a single victory, confirming their poor form. Dolomiti Bellunesi, despite better recent form (1.8 PPG in the last 5 matches), performs very poorly on the road—only 20% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -10. A key factor is the tendency of both teams to draw: Novara draws 50% of home matches, and the guests 30% of away matches, with both teams failing to score in 40% of their fixtures. Considering the hosts' weak offensive efficiency (0.7 goals per match at home) and the guests' defensive problems away (2 goals conceded on average), I expect a tight, cautious match ending in a split of points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Dolomiti Bellunesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novara is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Novara · 0.4 pts / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novara is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Novara · 1 goals / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi
Novara is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Novara · 1.61 goals / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi
Novara scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Dolomiti Bellunesi keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Dolomiti Bellunesi scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Novara
Over / Under — Dolomiti Bellunesi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dolomiti Bellunesi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novara
Dolomiti Bellunesi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Dolomiti Bellunesi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.34 | ▲ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 66% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Novara 0 - 1 - 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 1:1 Dolomiti Bellunesi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Novara score 1.05 goals per game on average and Dolomiti Bellunesi 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Novara's matches and 50% of Dolomiti Bellunesi's.
What form are Novara and Dolomiti Bellunesi in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.