Novara vs Giana Erminio: match statistics
Novara exhibits a very high draw percentage in home matches (57%), indicating difficulties in breaking down opponents at their own stadium. Giana Erminio also frequently draws in away matches (38%) and is characterized by a solid defense with 62% clean sheets and a low average of conceded goals (0.69). The form of both teams over the last five matches is similar, although Novara has a better points tally (1.6 vs 1.2 PPG). xG analysis shows a slight advantage for the hosts (1.48 vs 1.34), but their low scoring efficiency in home matches (0.93 goals/match) and a high percentage of matches without a goal scored (36%) suggest finishing issues. Considering both teams' statistics and their tendency for balanced play, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
Novara vs Giana Erminio: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Novara played against Giana Erminio in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Novara has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Giana Erminio has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Novara scores 0.93 goals per game and allows 0.96. Giana Erminio scores 0.89 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Novara's games and 37% of Giana Erminio's. The Over 2.5 rates are 26% and 33%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Giana Erminio has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.40 per game. Novara takes 10.8 shots per game, while Giana Erminio takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Novara leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Giana Erminio leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Novara's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Giana Erminio, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.25 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novara exhibits a very high draw percentage in home matches (57%), indicating difficulties in breaking down opponents at their own stadium. Giana Erminio also frequently draws in away matches (38%) and is characterized by a solid defense with 62% clean sheets and a low average of conceded goals (0.69). The form of both teams over the last five matches is similar, although Novara has a better points tally (1.6 vs 1.2 PPG). xG analysis shows a slight advantage for the hosts (1.48 vs 1.34), but their low scoring efficiency in home matches (0.93 goals/match) and a high percentage of matches without a goal scored (36%) suggest finishing issues. Considering both teams' statistics and their tendency for balanced play, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Novara is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Novara · 1.2 pts / game - Giana Erminio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novara scores in 67% of games (18 of 27 meczów), while Giana Erminio keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 meczów).
Giana Erminio scores in 56% of games (15 of 27 meczów), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novara
Over / Under - Giana Erminio
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Novara · 1.11 pts / game - Giana Erminio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 19%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Giana Erminio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Novara
Giana Erminio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.89 | 2.25 | ▼ 1.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 49% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Novara's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Giana Erminio. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Giana Erminio?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 3:1 Giana Erminio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Giana Erminio?
Novara score 0.93 goals per game on average and Giana Erminio 0.89. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Novara's matches and 37% of Giana Erminio's.
What form are Novara and Giana Erminio in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Giana Erminio 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Giana Erminio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Novara vs Giana Erminio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.