Novara vs Pergolettese: match statistics
Novara presents solid form with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, remaining unbeaten. The hosts have the advantage in possession (53%) and a higher average xG (1.5 vs 1.32); however, a significant 53% of their home matches end in a draw, indicating difficulties in breaking down defensive rivals. Despite a weaker away record (20% wins), Pergolettese is enjoying an excellent moment—four wins in their last five matches and a great points-per-match ratio (2.4). The xG statistics for both teams are close, and Novara's history of home performances (high draw percentage) suggests a balanced rivalry. Given the good form of both teams and the hosts' tendency to draw, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
Novara vs Pergolettese: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Novara played against Pergolettese in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Novara has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Pergolettese has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Novara scores 1.03 goals per game and allows 0.93. Pergolettese scores 0.97 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Novara's games and 50% of Pergolettese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 43%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Novara has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.37 per game. Novara takes 11.2 shots per game, while Pergolettese takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Novara leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Pergolettese leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Novara's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Pergolettese, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novara presents solid form with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, remaining unbeaten. The hosts have the advantage in possession (53%) and a higher average xG (1.5 vs 1.32); however, a significant 53% of their home matches end in a draw, indicating difficulties in breaking down defensive rivals. Despite a weaker away record (20% wins), Pergolettese is enjoying an excellent moment—four wins in their last five matches and a great points-per-match ratio (2.4). The xG statistics for both teams are close, and Novara's history of home performances (high draw percentage) suggests a balanced rivalry. Given the good form of both teams and the hosts' tendency to draw, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Pergolettese is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Novara · 2.4 pts / game - Pergolettese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novara is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.03 goals / game - Novara · 0.97 goals / game - Pergolettese
Novara is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.93 goals / game - Novara · 1.33 goals / game - Pergolettese
Novara scores in 70% of games (21 of 30 meczów), while Pergolettese keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 meczów).
Pergolettese scores in 57% of games (17 of 30 meczów), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novara
Over / Under - Pergolettese
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / game - Novara · 1.13 pts / game - Pergolettese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Pergolettese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Novara
Pergolettese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.97 | 2.28 | • 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Novara's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Pergolettese. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Pergolettese?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 1:1 Pergolettese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Pergolettese?
Novara score 1.03 goals per game on average and Pergolettese 0.97. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Novara's matches and 50% of Pergolettese's.
What form are Novara and Pergolettese in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Pergolettese 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Pergolettese?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.