Novara vs Pro Patria: match statistics
Novara, despite poor form in the last five matches (4 draws, 1 loss), presents significantly better disposition than Pro Patria, who are in a catastrophic streak of five consecutive defeats. The hosts remain solid at home, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match, while their xG (1.51) exceeds the achieved results, suggesting an underestimation of their offensive potential. Pro Patria is exceptionally weak away – 70% losses, just 10% victories, averaging 1.5 goals conceded and only 0.6 scored per match, with dismal xG (0.97 to 1.88). The difference in possession (52% vs 49%) and shot quality (4.18 vs 1.8 on target per match) speaks for the hosts. Although Novara often draws at home (55%), the dramatic form of the visitors and their helplessness in attack (50% FTS%) give a real chance for the hosts to break the drawing streak.
Novara vs Pro Patria: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Novara played against Pro Patria in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Novara has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Pro Patria has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Novara scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 1.00. Pro Patria scores 0.68 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 2.23 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Novara's games and 41% of Pro Patria's. The Over 2.5 rates are 23% and 55%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Novara has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.12 per game. Novara takes 10.9 shots per game, while Pro Patria takes 8.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Novara leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.36 goals per game after halftime. Pro Patria leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Novara's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Pro Patria, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.23 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novara, despite poor form in the last five matches (4 draws, 1 loss), presents significantly better disposition than Pro Patria, who are in a catastrophic streak of five consecutive defeats. The hosts remain solid at home, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match, while their xG (1.51) exceeds the achieved results, suggesting an underestimation of their offensive potential. Pro Patria is exceptionally weak away – 70% losses, just 10% victories, averaging 1.5 goals conceded and only 0.6 scored per match, with dismal xG (0.97 to 1.88). The difference in possession (52% vs 49%) and shot quality (4.18 vs 1.8 on target per match) speaks for the hosts. Although Novara often draws at home (55%), the dramatic form of the visitors and their helplessness in attack (50% FTS%) give a real chance for the hosts to break the drawing streak.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novara is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
0.86 goals / game - Novara · 0.68 goals / game - Pro Patria
Novara is 73% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Novara · 1.73 goals / game - Pro Patria
Novara scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Pro Patria keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
Pro Patria scores in 45% of games (10 of 22 meczów), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novara
Over / Under - Pro Patria
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / game - Novara · 0.82 pts / game - Pro Patria
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Pro Patria - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 9%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Novara
Pro Patria
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.86 | 2.23 | ▲ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 50% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 39% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 66% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Novara's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Pro Patria. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Pro Patria?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 3:1 Pro Patria. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Pro Patria?
Novara score 0.86 goals per game on average and Pro Patria 0.68. The Serie C Group A average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Novara's matches and 41% of Pro Patria's.
What form are Novara and Pro Patria in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Pro Patria 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Pro Patria?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.