Novara vs Renate: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Novara played against Renate in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on November 23, 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Novara has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Renate has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Novara scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 0.79. Renate scores 0.86 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 2.27 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Novara's games and 43% of Renate's. The Over 2.5 rates are 14% and 29%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Renate has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.41 per game. Novara takes 10.9 shots per game, while Renate takes 11.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Novara leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.36 goals per game after halftime. Renate leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.29 after halftime.

When the teams score

Novara's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Renate, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 2.27 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

44Possession (%)56
NovaraRenate
12Shots9
NovaraRenate
2Shots on target3
NovaraRenate
1.35xG1.31
NovaraRenate
4Corners8
NovaraRenate
62Dangerous attacks72
NovaraRenate
19Fouls20
NovaraRenate
3Cards3
NovaraRenate

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.86Goals scored / game0.86
NovaraRenate
0.79Goals allowed / game1.07
NovaraRenate
48%Average possession50%
NovaraRenate
4.21Shots on target / game3.43
NovaraRenate

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.93Shots per game11.21
NovaraRenate
4.21Shots on target3.43
NovaraRenate
7.8%Shot conversion7.6%
NovaraRenate
48%Possession50%
NovaraRenate
1.41xG for1.43
NovaraRenate
1.45xG against1.38
NovaraRenate

Shooting quality

Novara: BalancedRenate: Balanced
NovaraRenate
Accuracy (shots on target)39%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Novara is 120% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Novara · 1 pts / game - Renate

Novara
WDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
21% W64% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-9-2
1.29 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LDWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Renate
DLDWL
Season result split
29% W36% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-5
1.21 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Novara is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.79 goals / game - Novara · 1.07 goals / game - Renate

Novara scoring profile: strong

Novara scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 meczów), while Renate keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 meczów).

Renate scoring profile: mixed

Renate scores in 64% of games (9 of 14 meczów), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 meczów).

12Goals scored (season)12
NovaraRenate
11Goals conceded (season)15
NovaraRenate
1.64Average goals per game1.93
NovaraRenate
6Goals scored (last 5)2
NovaraRenate
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
NovaraRenate

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal64%
NovaraRenate
14%2 goals14%
NovaraRenate
0%3 goals7%
NovaraRenate
0%4 goals0%
NovaraRenate

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal64%
NovaraRenate
14%2 goals29%
NovaraRenate
7%3 goals14%
NovaraRenate
0%4 goals0%
NovaraRenate

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time14%
NovaraRenate
0%BTTS in both halves0%
NovaraRenate
7%Scored in both halves14%
NovaraRenate

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
NovaraRenate
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
NovaraRenate
40%BTTS - last 520%
NovaraRenate

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
NovaraRenate
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
NovaraRenate
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
NovaraRenate

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
NovaraRenate
14%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
NovaraRenate
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
NovaraRenate

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Renate is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / game - Novara · 1.71 pts / game - Renate

Novara - half-time state
21% leading64% draw14% trailing
Renate - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per game (1st half)1.71
NovaraRenate
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.57
NovaraRenate
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
NovaraRenate
0.93Average goals (1st half)0.86
NovaraRenate
57%Clean sheet before half-time71%
NovaraRenate
57%No goal before half-time43%
NovaraRenate

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per game (2nd half)0.86
NovaraRenate
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
NovaraRenate
0.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
NovaraRenate
0.71Average goals (2nd half)1.07
NovaraRenate
79%Clean sheet after half-time57%
NovaraRenate
64%No goal after half-time79%
NovaraRenate

Novara - second-half results

29% W50% D21% L
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Renate - second-half results

7% W64% D29% L
24
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Novara - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.00
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Renate - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.40.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.0
Average goals per game1.00.0
1 goal80%0%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Novara
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Renate
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.79
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
79%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.91
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Renate

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

NovaraLigaRenate
Average goals per game 1.642.27 1.93
Both teams scored 50%50% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 14%42% 29%
Clean sheets 43%30% 36%
Goal before half-time 57%70% 71%
Goal after half-time 50%69% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.27
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NovaraYellow cardGianmarco Basso
  2. NovaraYellow cardLeonardo Di Cosmo
  3. RenateYellow cardAristidi Kolaj
  4. RenateYellow cardAndrea Bonetti
  5. NovaraSubstitutionOn: Roberto RanieriOff: Gianmarco Basso
  6. NovaraSubstitutionOn: Leonardo MorosiniOff: Thomas Alberti
  7. RenateYellow cardGianluca Rossi
  8. RenateSubstitutionOn: Andrea GhezziOff: Gianluca Mastromonaco
  9. NovaraSubstitutionOn: Davide BertonciniOff: Andrea Valdesi
  10. NovaraYellow cardDavide Bertoncini

FAQ

What was the result of Novara vs Renate?

The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 0:1 Renate. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Renate?

Novara score 0.86 goals per game on average and Renate 0.86. The Serie C Group A average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Novara's matches and 43% of Renate's.

What form are Novara and Renate in?

Over the last 5 games Novara have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Renate 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Renate?

The statistical background for Novara vs Renate — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.