Novara vs Renate: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Novara play Renate in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 23 November 2025 at 14:30. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Novara: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Renate: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Novara scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Renate scores 1.39 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Novara 53%, Renate 55%. Over 2.5: Novara 32%, Renate 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Renate has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.45. Novara: 11.6 shots per match, Renate: 12.0.

Match halves

Novara: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50. Renate: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Novara: 61-75 (9 goals). Renate: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
NovaraRenate
12Shots9
NovaraRenate
2Shots on target3
NovaraRenate
1.35xG1.31
NovaraRenate
4Corners8
NovaraRenate
62Dangerous attacks72
NovaraRenate
19Fouls20
NovaraRenate
3Cards3
NovaraRenate

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.05Goals scored / match1.39
NovaraRenate
1.03Goals conceded / match0.97
NovaraRenate
52%Average possession48%
NovaraRenate
3.97Shots on target / match4.39
NovaraRenate

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.63Shots per match12
NovaraRenate
3.97Shots on target4.39
NovaraRenate
9%Shot conversion11.6%
NovaraRenate
52%Possession48%
NovaraRenate
1.45xG for1.53
NovaraRenate
1.31xG against1.47
NovaraRenate

Shooting quality

Novara: BalancedRenate: Balanced
NovaraRenate
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Renate is 267% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Novara · 2.2 pts / match - Renate

Novara
LLLLW
Season result split
24% W53% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-20-9
1.24 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-9-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Renate
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
45% W34% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-13-8
1.68 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-8-3
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Renate is 32% better for: goals scored per match.

1.05 goals / match - Novara · 1.39 goals / match - Renate

Renate is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.03 goals / match - Novara · 0.97 goals / match - Renate

Novara scoring profile: strong

Novara scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Renate keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).

Renate scoring profile: very strong

Renate scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

40Goals scored (season)53
NovaraRenate
39Goals conceded (season)37
NovaraRenate
2.08Average goals in match2.37
NovaraRenate
5Goals scored (last 5)10
NovaraRenate
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
NovaraRenate

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal82%
NovaraRenate
26%2 goals37%
NovaraRenate
8%3 goals18%
NovaraRenate
0%4 goals3%
NovaraRenate

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal63%
NovaraRenate
24%2 goals24%
NovaraRenate
13%3 goals11%
NovaraRenate
0%4 goals0%
NovaraRenate

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time16%
NovaraRenate
0%BTTS in both halves0%
NovaraRenate
16%Scored in both halves32%
NovaraRenate

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
NovaraRenate
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
NovaraRenate
60%BTTS - last 580%
NovaraRenate

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
NovaraRenate
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
NovaraRenate
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
NovaraRenate

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
NovaraRenate
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
NovaraRenate
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
NovaraRenate

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Renate is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Novara · 1.79 pts / match - Renate

Novara - half-time state
24% leading50% draw26% trailing
Renate - half-time state
47% leading37% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.79
NovaraRenate
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.68
NovaraRenate
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
NovaraRenate
1.05Average goals (1st half)1
NovaraRenate
55%Clean sheet before half-time68%
NovaraRenate
55%No goal before half-time37%
NovaraRenate

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per match (2nd half)1.42
NovaraRenate
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
NovaraRenate
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.66
NovaraRenate
1.03Average goals (2nd half)1.37
NovaraRenate
66%Clean sheet after half-time55%
NovaraRenate
58%No goal after half-time50%
NovaraRenate

Novara - second-half results

32% W42% R26% P
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Renate - second-half results

32% W47% R21% P
68
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding96%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 45%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Novara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Renate - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Novara
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
7
7
16-30
8
9
31-45
4
7
46-60
9
5
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Renate
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
9
4
16-30
8
3
31-45
13
7
46-60
7
5
61-75
7
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.22
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+80%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Renate

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

NovaraLigaRenate
Average goals in match 2.082.34 2.37
Both teams scored 53%50% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 32%43% 50%
Clean sheets 34%30% 37%
Goal before half-time 66%66% 79%
Goal after half-time 63%73% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Novara 0 - 0 - 1 Renate. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Novara vs Renate?

The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 0:1 Renate. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Renate?

Novara score 1.05 goals per game on average and Renate 1.39. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Novara's matches and 55% of Renate's.

What form are Novara and Renate in?

Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Renate 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Renate?

The statistical background for Novara vs Renate — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.