Italy - Serie C Group AData current as of 20 July 2026

Novara vs Union Brescia: match statistics

Novara crest
Novara
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Union Brescia crest
Union Brescia
125%(3.50)
X30%(2.90)
245%(2.05)

Union Brescia displays significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors boast an impressive 67% away win rate, a +12 goal difference, and only 0.33 goals conceded per away match. Novara shows poor offensive efficiency in home matches (0.92 goals per game) and only a 25% win rate with 50% draws. Recent form over the last 5 matches also favors Union Brescia (2.0 points per game vs 1.2 for Novara). The high clean sheet percentage of the visitors (67%) and the negative goal difference of the hosts (-1) further support the advantage of the team from Brescia. I expect Union Brescia to leverage their solid defense and offensive efficiency to secure three points.

Novara vs Union Brescia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Novara play Union Brescia in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 7 February 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Novara: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Union Brescia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Novara scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Union Brescia scores 1.29 and concedes 0.63. League average: 2.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Novara 53%, Union Brescia 42%. Over 2.5: Novara 32%, Union Brescia 32%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Union Brescia has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.45. Novara: 11.6 shots per match, Union Brescia: 12.4.

Match halves

Novara: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50. Union Brescia: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Novara: 61-75 (9 goals). Union Brescia: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Union Brescia displays significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors boast an impressive 67% away win rate, a +12 goal difference, and only 0.33 goals conceded per away match. Novara shows poor offensive efficiency in home matches (0.92 goals per game) and only a 25% win rate with 50% draws. Recent form over the last 5 matches also favors Union Brescia (2.0 points per game vs 1.2 for Novara). The high clean sheet percentage of the visitors (67%) and the negative goal difference of the hosts (-1) further support the advantage of the team from Brescia. I expect Union Brescia to leverage their solid defense and offensive efficiency to secure three points.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
NovaraUnion Brescia
8Shots9
NovaraUnion Brescia
4Shots on target3
NovaraUnion Brescia
1.22xG1.31
NovaraUnion Brescia
2Corners2
NovaraUnion Brescia
59Dangerous attacks73
NovaraUnion Brescia
12Fouls10
NovaraUnion Brescia
1Cards2
NovaraUnion Brescia

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

NovaraUnion Brescia
1.05Goals scored / match1.29
NovaraUnion Brescia
1.03Goals conceded / match0.63
NovaraUnion Brescia
52%Average possession51%
NovaraUnion Brescia
3.97Shots on target / match4.32
NovaraUnion Brescia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.63Shots per match12.39
NovaraUnion Brescia
3.97Shots on target4.32
NovaraUnion Brescia
9%Shot conversion10.4%
NovaraUnion Brescia
52%Possession51%
NovaraUnion Brescia
1.45xG for1.72
NovaraUnion Brescia
1.31xG against1.22
NovaraUnion Brescia

Shooting quality

Novara: BalancedUnion Brescia: Balanced
NovaraUnion Brescia
Accuracy (shots on target)34%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Union Brescia is 233% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Novara · 2 pts / match - Union Brescia

Novara
LLLLW
Season result split
24% W53% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-20-9
1.24 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-9-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Union Brescia
DWLWW
Season result split
50% W32% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-12-7
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
9-7-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Union Brescia is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.05 goals / match - Novara · 1.29 goals / match - Union Brescia

Union Brescia is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.03 goals / match - Novara · 0.63 goals / match - Union Brescia

Novara scoring profile: mixed

Novara scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Union Brescia keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).

Union Brescia scoring profile: strong

Union Brescia scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

40Goals scored (season)49
NovaraUnion Brescia
39Goals conceded (season)24
NovaraUnion Brescia
2.08Average goals in match1.92
NovaraUnion Brescia
5Goals scored (last 5)6
NovaraUnion Brescia
10Goals conceded (last 5)3
NovaraUnion Brescia

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal71%
NovaraUnion Brescia
26%2 goals39%
NovaraUnion Brescia
8%3 goals13%
NovaraUnion Brescia
0%4 goals3%
NovaraUnion Brescia

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal53%
NovaraUnion Brescia
24%2 goals11%
NovaraUnion Brescia
13%3 goals0%
NovaraUnion Brescia
0%4 goals0%
NovaraUnion Brescia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time13%
NovaraUnion Brescia
0%BTTS in both halves0%
NovaraUnion Brescia
16%Scored in both halves21%
NovaraUnion Brescia

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
NovaraUnion Brescia
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
NovaraUnion Brescia
60%BTTS - last 540%
NovaraUnion Brescia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
NovaraUnion Brescia
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
NovaraUnion Brescia
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
NovaraUnion Brescia

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
NovaraUnion Brescia
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
NovaraUnion Brescia
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
NovaraUnion Brescia

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Union Brescia is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Novara · 1.32 pts / match - Union Brescia

Novara - half-time state
24% leading50% draw26% trailing
Union Brescia - half-time state
24% leading61% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.32
NovaraUnion Brescia
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.53
NovaraUnion Brescia
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
NovaraUnion Brescia
1.05Average goals (1st half)0.84
NovaraUnion Brescia
55%Clean sheet before half-time74%
NovaraUnion Brescia
55%No goal before half-time63%
NovaraUnion Brescia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per match (2nd half)1.79
NovaraUnion Brescia
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
NovaraUnion Brescia
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.32
NovaraUnion Brescia
1.03Average goals (2nd half)1.08
NovaraUnion Brescia
66%Clean sheet after half-time71%
NovaraUnion Brescia
58%No goal after half-time45%
NovaraUnion Brescia

Novara - second-half results

32% W42% R26% P
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Union Brescia - second-half results

47% W37% R16% P
50
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
68
Second-half points
+17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding208%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Novara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Union Brescia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Novara
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
7
7
16-30
8
9
31-45
4
7
46-60
9
5
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Union Brescia
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
5
5
16-30
10
5
31-45
6
2
46-60
6
4
61-75
17
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
0%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Union Brescia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-22.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

NovaraLigaUnion Brescia
Average goals in match 2.082.34 1.92
Both teams scored 53%50% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 32%43% 32%
Clean sheets 34%30% 47%
Goal before half-time 66%66% 50%
Goal after half-time 63%73% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Novara 0 - 1 - 0 Union Brescia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Union Brescia
1 : 1
Novara Calcio

FAQ

What was the result of Novara vs Union Brescia?

The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 0:0 Union Brescia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Union Brescia?

Novara score 1.05 goals per game on average and Union Brescia 1.29. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Novara's matches and 42% of Union Brescia's.

What form are Novara and Union Brescia in?

Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Union Brescia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Union Brescia?

The statistical background for Novara vs Union Brescia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.