Novi Pazar vs Bačka Topola: match statistics
Novi Pazar presents solid home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive record of 42% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals per match at home, with expected goals (xG) at the level of 1.8, indicating offensive effectiveness. Bačka Topola struggles on the road – only 25% away wins and as many as 42% losses, with a poor average of 0.92 goals scored away. The guests also have a high FTS% indicator (42%), meaning frequent problems with scoring a goal. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.8 vs 1.24) speaks in favor of the hosts, who should exploit the home field advantage. The recent form of both teams (Novi Pazar: LDLWW, Bačka Topola: WLDWD) also suggests a slight advantage for the hosts, although Topola has shown improvement in recent matches, justifying an increased probability of a draw.
Novi Pazar vs Bačka Topola: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Novi Pazar played against Bačka Topola in SuperLiga (Serbia). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Novi Pazar has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Bačka Topola has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Novi Pazar scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.29. Bačka Topola scores 0.92 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Novi Pazar's games and 46% of Bačka Topola's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 29%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Novi Pazar has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.48 per game. Novi Pazar takes 13.4 shots per game, while Bačka Topola takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Novi Pazar leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Bačka Topola leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Novi Pazar's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Bačka Topola, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
SuperLiga games average 2.74 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novi Pazar presents solid home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive record of 42% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals per match at home, with expected goals (xG) at the level of 1.8, indicating offensive effectiveness. Bačka Topola struggles on the road – only 25% away wins and as many as 42% losses, with a poor average of 0.92 goals scored away. The guests also have a high FTS% indicator (42%), meaning frequent problems with scoring a goal. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.8 vs 1.24) speaks in favor of the hosts, who should exploit the home field advantage. The recent form of both teams (Novi Pazar: LDLWW, Bačka Topola: WLDWD) also suggests a slight advantage for the hosts, although Topola has shown improvement in recent matches, justifying an increased probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Novi Pazar | Bačka Topola | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bačka Topola is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Novi Pazar · 1.6 pts / game - Bačka Topola
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novi Pazar is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Novi Pazar · 0.92 goals / game - Bačka Topola
Bačka Topola is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Novi Pazar · 1.13 goals / game - Bačka Topola
Novi Pazar scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Bačka Topola keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
Bačka Topola scores in 63% of games (15 of 24 meczów), while Novi Pazar keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novi Pazar
Over / Under - Bačka Topola
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novi Pazar is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / game - Novi Pazar · 1.04 pts / game - Bačka Topola
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novi Pazar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bačka Topola - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Novi Pazar
Bačka Topola
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Novi Pazar | Liga | Bačka Topola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.58 | 2.74 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Novi Pazar's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bačka Topola. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Novi Pazar vs Bačka Topola?
The SuperLiga match finished Novi Pazar 2:0 Bačka Topola. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novi Pazar vs Bačka Topola?
Novi Pazar score 1.29 goals per game on average and Bačka Topola 0.92. The SuperLiga average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Novi Pazar's matches and 46% of Bačka Topola's.
What form are Novi Pazar and Bačka Topola in?
Over the last 5 games Novi Pazar have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Bačka Topola 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novi Pazar vs Bačka Topola?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


