Novi Pazar vs Bačka Topola: match statistics
Novi Pazar presents solid home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive record of 42% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals per match at home, with expected goals (xG) at the level of 1.8, indicating offensive effectiveness. Bačka Topola struggles on the road – only 25% away wins and as many as 42% losses, with a poor average of 0.92 goals scored away. The guests also have a high FTS% indicator (42%), meaning frequent problems with scoring a goal. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.8 vs 1.24) speaks in favor of the hosts, who should exploit the home field advantage. The recent form of both teams (Novi Pazar: LDLWW, Bačka Topola: WLDWD) also suggests a slight advantage for the hosts, although Topola has shown improvement in recent matches, justifying an increased probability of a draw.
Novi Pazar vs Bačka Topola: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novi Pazar play Bačka Topola in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Novi Pazar: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bačka Topola: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novi Pazar scores 1.24 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Bačka Topola scores 1.22 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novi Pazar 51%, Bačka Topola 57%. Over 2.5: Novi Pazar 49%, Bačka Topola 43%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Bačka Topola has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.57. Novi Pazar: 12.7 shots per match, Bačka Topola: 13.9.
Match halves
Novi Pazar: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.65. Bačka Topola: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Novi Pazar: 76-90+ (11 goals). Bačka Topola: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Novi Pazar presents solid home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive record of 42% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals per match at home, with expected goals (xG) at the level of 1.8, indicating offensive effectiveness. Bačka Topola struggles on the road – only 25% away wins and as many as 42% losses, with a poor average of 0.92 goals scored away. The guests also have a high FTS% indicator (42%), meaning frequent problems with scoring a goal. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.8 vs 1.24) speaks in favor of the hosts, who should exploit the home field advantage. The recent form of both teams (Novi Pazar: LDLWW, Bačka Topola: WLDWD) also suggests a slight advantage for the hosts, although Topola has shown improvement in recent matches, justifying an increased probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novi Pazar | Bačka Topola | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bačka Topola is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Novi Pazar · 1.22 goals / match - Bačka Topola
Novi Pazar scores in 76% of matches (28 of 37 matches), while Bačka Topola keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 matches).
Bačka Topola scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Novi Pazar keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Novi Pazar
Over / Under — Bačka Topola
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novi Pazar is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Novi Pazar · 1.14 pts / match - Bačka Topola
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novi Pazar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bačka Topola - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novi Pazar
Bačka Topola
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Novi Pazar | Liga | Bačka Topola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.70 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 51% | 53% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 49% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Novi Pazar 0 - 0 - 1 Bačka Topola. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novi Pazar vs Bačka Topola?
The SuperLiga match finished Novi Pazar 2:0 Bačka Topola. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novi Pazar vs Bačka Topola?
Novi Pazar score 1.24 goals per game on average and Bačka Topola 1.22. The SuperLiga average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Novi Pazar's matches and 57% of Bačka Topola's.
What form are Novi Pazar and Bačka Topola in?
Over the last 5 games Novi Pazar have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bačka Topola 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novi Pazar vs Bačka Topola?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.