Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between both teams. Novi Pazar displays solid home form with a 55% win rate in home matches and a +1 goal difference, but their last five overall matches have yielded only 1.4 points per game on average. OFK Beograd impresses with their recent away form, conceding just 1 goal in the last 5 away matches and achieving a 45% win rate on the road. The visitors boast a better shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%) and a more favorable away goal difference (+2). Considering OFK Beograd's high away draw percentage (36%) and the teams' similar average xG, I anticipate a tight, tactical encounter concluding with a share of the points.
Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Novi Pazar played against OFK Beograd in SuperLiga (Serbia). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Novi Pazar has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. OFK Beograd has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Novi Pazar scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.36. OFK Beograd scores 1.32 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Novi Pazar's games and 45% of OFK Beograd's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 41%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Novi Pazar has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.38 per game. Novi Pazar takes 13.7 shots per game, while OFK Beograd takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Novi Pazar leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. OFK Beograd leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Novi Pazar's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For OFK Beograd, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
SuperLiga games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between both teams. Novi Pazar displays solid home form with a 55% win rate in home matches and a +1 goal difference, but their last five overall matches have yielded only 1.4 points per game on average. OFK Beograd impresses with their recent away form, conceding just 1 goal in the last 5 away matches and achieving a 45% win rate on the road. The visitors boast a better shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%) and a more favorable away goal difference (+2). Considering OFK Beograd's high away draw percentage (36%) and the teams' similar average xG, I anticipate a tight, tactical encounter concluding with a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Novi Pazar | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
OFK Beograd is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Novi Pazar · 1.6 pts / game - OFK Beograd
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
OFK Beograd is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.18 goals / game - Novi Pazar · 1.32 goals / game - OFK Beograd
Novi Pazar scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while OFK Beograd keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
OFK Beograd scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Novi Pazar keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novi Pazar
Over / Under - OFK Beograd
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novi Pazar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
OFK Beograd - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Novi Pazar | Liga | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.55 | 2.77 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Novi Pazar's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against OFK Beograd. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
The SuperLiga match finished Novi Pazar 2:1 OFK Beograd. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
Novi Pazar score 1.18 goals per game on average and OFK Beograd 1.32. The SuperLiga average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Novi Pazar's matches and 45% of OFK Beograd's.
What form are Novi Pazar and OFK Beograd in?
Over the last 5 games Novi Pazar have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and OFK Beograd 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.