Ñublense vs La Serena: match statistics
Ñublense shows solid home form with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, sitting 3rd in the table. The hosts have an edge in home attacking efficiency (averaging 1 goal per match) and a better expected goals metric (xG 1.31 vs 0.96), indicating the creation of genuine scoring opportunities. La Serena displays low scoring efficiency in away matches (averaging 0.5 goals per match) and fails to score in 50% of these fixtures, which is a major weakness. Although both teams have a neutral goal difference in these configurations (GD=0), Ñublense's form over the last 5 matches (2 points per match) surpasses the visitors' disposition (1.4 points per match). Considering the home-field advantage, superior form, and La Serena's offensive struggles on the road, the hosts are the favorites for this encounter, although the visitors could put up a fight, justifying a moderate probability for a draw.
Ñublense vs La Serena: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ñublense played against La Serena in Primera División (Chile). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Ñublense has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. La Serena has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ñublense scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 0.67. La Serena scores 1.17 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Ñublense's games and 33% of La Serena's. The Over 2.5 rates are 17% and 33%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ñublense has the higher season xG average, 1.20 to 1.16 per game. Ñublense takes 11.7 shots per game, while La Serena takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Ñublense leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. La Serena leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.17 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ñublense's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For La Serena, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ñublense shows solid home form with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, sitting 3rd in the table. The hosts have an edge in home attacking efficiency (averaging 1 goal per match) and a better expected goals metric (xG 1.31 vs 0.96), indicating the creation of genuine scoring opportunities. La Serena displays low scoring efficiency in away matches (averaging 0.5 goals per match) and fails to score in 50% of these fixtures, which is a major weakness. Although both teams have a neutral goal difference in these configurations (GD=0), Ñublense's form over the last 5 matches (2 points per match) surpasses the visitors' disposition (1.4 points per match). Considering the home-field advantage, superior form, and La Serena's offensive struggles on the road, the hosts are the favorites for this encounter, although the visitors could put up a fight, justifying a moderate probability for a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ñublense | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ñublense is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Ñublense · 1.4 pts / game - La Serena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ñublense is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Ñublense · 0.83 goals / game - La Serena
Ñublense scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
La Serena scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 meczów), while Ñublense keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ñublense
Over / Under - La Serena
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Serena is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Ñublense · 2 pts / game - La Serena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ñublense - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ñublense
La Serena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Ñublense | Liga | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.83 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 30% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ñublense's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against La Serena. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ñublense vs La Serena?
The Primera División match finished Ñublense 2:2 La Serena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ñublense and La Serena?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 1, La Serena won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ñublense vs La Serena?
Ñublense score 1.17 goals per game on average and La Serena 1.17. The Primera División average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ñublense's matches and 33% of La Serena's.
What form are Ñublense and La Serena in?
Over the last 5 games Ñublense have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and La Serena 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ñublense vs La Serena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ñublense vs La Serena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.