Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción: match statistics
Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ñublense play Univ. Concepción in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Ñublense: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Univ. Concepción: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ñublense scores 1.20 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Univ. Concepción scores 0.87 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ñublense 53%, Univ. Concepción 47%. Over 2.5: Ñublense 33%, Univ. Concepción 53%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Ñublense: 12.7 shots per match, Univ. Concepción: 13.1.
Match halves
Ñublense: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.60. Univ. Concepción: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Ñublense: 31-45+ (5 goals). Univ. Concepción: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Ñublense has the advantage in home metrics: at home they average 1.00 goal with xG 1.39 and 13.83 shots per match, while Univ. Concepción away records 0.67 goals with xG 1.30 and 12.5 shots. Defensively the gap is significant — hosts concede 1.17 goals per home match, whereas visitors concede 2.17 on the road, with average xG against 1.04 vs 2.20, indicating Concepción gives opponents more clear-cut chances. Additionally Ñublense has higher shot efficiency (conversion rate 7% vs 5%) and a much lower share of matches without a goal (FTS 17% vs 33%), increasing the likelihood they convert created chances. Both teams have been unstable in recent weeks — hosts have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches and visitors 10, and in form over the last 5 the visitors have 2 wins vs 1 for the hosts — therefore I expect an open game with goals at both ends. Considering the superior home goal differential (-1 vs -9 on the visitors’ road), better offensive efficiency and lower risk of a goalless outcome, Ñublense is the favorite.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ñublense | Univ. Concepción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ñublense is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Ñublense · 0.87 goals / match - Univ. Concepción
Ñublense is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Ñublense · 1.73 goals / match - Univ. Concepción
Ñublense scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
Univ. Concepción scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Ñublense keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ñublense
Over / Under — Univ. Concepción
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ñublense is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Ñublense · 0.93 pts / match - Univ. Concepción
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ñublense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Univ. Concepción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ñublense
Univ. Concepción
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Ñublense | Liga | Univ. Concepción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 53% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción?
The Primera División match finished Ñublense 2:2 Univ. Concepción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción?
Ñublense score 1.20 goals per game on average and Univ. Concepción 0.87. The Primera División average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Ñublense's matches and 47% of Univ. Concepción's.
What form are Ñublense and Univ. Concepción in?
Over the last 5 games Ñublense have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Univ. Concepción 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción?
The statistical background for Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.