Ñublense vs Universidad Católica: match statistics
Ñublense is showing solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive unbeaten record at home (2 wins, 2 draws). The hosts are extremely defensively stable at their own stadium, conceding only 0.5 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of games. Universidad Católica, on the other hand, has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), conceding as many as 2.5 goals on average per match away, which is their biggest weakness. Despite an advantage in possession (62%) and better offensive statistics (2 goals per match), the visitors have a negative away record and poor recent form (1.6 PPG). Considering Ñublense's defensive solidity at home and Universidad Católica's away problems, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow home win, although the visitors' high offensive efficiency prevents ruling them out from fighting for points.
Ñublense vs Universidad Católica: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ñublense played against Universidad Católica in Primera División (Chile). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Ñublense has 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Universidad Católica has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.75 points per game.
Scoring records
Ñublense scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Universidad Católica scores 2.25 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Ñublense's games and 75% of Universidad Católica's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 75%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Universidad Católica has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.28 per game. Ñublense takes 12.3 shots per game, while Universidad Católica takes 15.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Ñublense leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Universidad Católica leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ñublense's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For Universidad Católica, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.31 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ñublense is showing solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive unbeaten record at home (2 wins, 2 draws). The hosts are extremely defensively stable at their own stadium, conceding only 0.5 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of games. Universidad Católica, on the other hand, has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), conceding as many as 2.5 goals on average per match away, which is their biggest weakness. Despite an advantage in possession (62%) and better offensive statistics (2 goals per match), the visitors have a negative away record and poor recent form (1.6 PPG). Considering Ñublense's defensive solidity at home and Universidad Católica's away problems, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow home win, although the visitors' high offensive efficiency prevents ruling them out from fighting for points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ñublense | Universidad Católica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 18% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ñublense is 14% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Ñublense · 1.75 pts / game - Universidad Católica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Universidad Católica is 125% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Ñublense · 2.25 goals / game - Universidad Católica
Ñublense is 200% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Ñublense · 1.5 goals / game - Universidad Católica
Ñublense scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Universidad Católica keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
Universidad Católica scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Ñublense keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ñublense
Over / Under - Universidad Católica
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ñublense is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Ñublense · 0.5 pts / game - Universidad Católica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ñublense - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Universidad Católica - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 75% |
| No goal | 25% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ñublense
Universidad Católica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Ñublense | Liga | Universidad Católica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 2.31 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 46% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Universidad CatólicaSubstitutionOn: Bernardo Humberto Cerezo RojasOff: Tomás Pablo Astaburuaga Montoya
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ñublense's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Universidad Católica. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ñublense vs Universidad Católica?
The Primera División match finished Ñublense 1:2 Universidad Católica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ñublense and Universidad Católica?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 0, Universidad Católica won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ñublense vs Universidad Católica?
Ñublense score 1.00 goals per game on average and Universidad Católica 2.25. The Primera División average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ñublense's matches and 75% of Universidad Católica's.
What form are Ñublense and Universidad Católica in?
Over the last 5 games Ñublense have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Universidad Católica 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ñublense vs Universidad Católica?
The statistical background for Ñublense vs Universidad Católica — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.