Italy - Serie C Group BData current as of 23 July 2026

Nuova Monterosi vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics

Nuova Monterosi vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nuova Monterosi play Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 2:3.

Current form

Nuova Monterosi: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nuova Monterosi scores 0.83 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 0.97 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nuova Monterosi 42%, Athletic Carpi 47%. Over 2.5: Nuova Monterosi 31%, Athletic Carpi 36%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.21. Nuova Monterosi: 9.3 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 12.1.

Match halves

Nuova Monterosi: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.53. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Nuova Monterosi: 76-90+ (11 goals). Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

I forecast a draw: hosts record as many as 53% draws at home and average 0.6 points per match in their last 5 fixtures, while Athletic Carpi averages 0.8 points per match in their last 5. Monterosi’s defence is their main asset — they concede just 0.88 goals per home game and keep a clean sheet in 41% of matches, whereas Carpi concedes 1.59 goals on the road and has only 24% clean sheets. Both attacks are inefficient: Monterosi score 0.59 goals per home game (3 goals in the last 5), Carpi 0.82 goals away (5 goals in the last 5), and both sides have low shot conversion (~6% vs ~7%). Monterosi generate 1.35 xG at home on average, Carpi 1.44 xG away, indicating both create chances but fail to finish (actual goals well below xG: 0.59 vs 1.35 and 0.82 vs 1.44). Considering the hosts’ 53% draw rate, Monterosi’s defensive advantage (0.88 vs 1.59 conceded) and the strikers’ low efficiency, the most likely scenario is a stalemate.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
10Shots12
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
3Shots on target6
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
1.12xG1.39
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
6Corners6
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
38Dangerous attacks30
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
13Fouls9
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
0Cards1
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
0.83Goals scored / match0.97
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
1Goals conceded / match1.33
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
49%Average possession49%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
3.22Shots on target / match3.42
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.31Shots per match12.08
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
3.22Shots on target3.42
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
9%Shot conversion8%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
49%Possession49%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
1.21xG for1.43
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
1.55xG against1.45
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

Shooting quality

Nuova Monterosi: BalancedAthletic Carpi: Balanced
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
Accuracy (shots on target)35%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Athletic Carpi is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1.2 pts / match - Athletic Carpi

Nuova Monterosi
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
22% W39% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-14-14
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-9-7
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Athletic Carpi
LWLLW
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Athletic Carpi is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 0.97 goals / match - Athletic Carpi

Nuova Monterosi is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1.33 goals / match - Athletic Carpi

Nuova Monterosi scoring profile: strong

Nuova Monterosi scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

Athletic Carpi scoring profile: strong

Athletic Carpi scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Nuova Monterosi keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).

30Goals scored (season)35
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
36Goals conceded (season)48
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
1.83Average goals in match2.31
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal67%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
19%2 goals25%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
3%3 goals6%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
0%4 goals0%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal78%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
33%2 goals39%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
6%3 goals14%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
0%4 goals3%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
3%BTTS in both halves8%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
6%Scored in both halves14%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
60%BTTS - last 540%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

39%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
19%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nuova Monterosi is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1 pts / match - Athletic Carpi

Nuova Monterosi - half-time state
14% leading67% draw19% trailing
Athletic Carpi - half-time state
19% leading42% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
0.31Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
0.72Average goals (1st half)1.08
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
69%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
75%No goal before half-time67%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per match (2nd half)1.06
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
1.11Average goals (2nd half)1.22
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
53%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi
58%No goal after half-time53%
Nuova MonterosiAthletic Carpi

Nuova Monterosi - second-half results

22% W47% R31% P
39
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding157%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Athletic Carpi - second-half results

17% W56% R28% P
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nuova Monterosi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Athletic Carpi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nuova Monterosi
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
6
2
16-30
3
8
31-45
5
7
46-60
3
8
61-75
11
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Athletic Carpi
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
6
11
16-30
6
4
31-45
2
5
46-60
7
11
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.06
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nuova Monterosi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
37% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
37%

Athletic Carpi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

Nuova MonterosiLigaAthletic Carpi
Average goals in match 1.832.26 2.31
Both teams scored 42%49% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 31%39% 36%
Clean sheets 39%31% 22%
Goal before half-time 39%63% 69%
Goal after half-time 69%72% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Nuova Monterosi 0 - 1 - 0 Athletic Carpi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Nuova Monterosi vs Athletic Carpi?

The Serie C Group B match finished Nuova Monterosi 2:3 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nuova Monterosi vs Athletic Carpi?

Nuova Monterosi score 0.83 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 0.97. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Nuova Monterosi's matches and 47% of Athletic Carpi's.

What form are Nuova Monterosi and Athletic Carpi in?

Over the last 5 games Nuova Monterosi have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nuova Monterosi vs Athletic Carpi?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.