Nuova Monterosi vs Gubbio: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between two teams in similar form. Nuova Monterosi shows poor home form with just 15% wins at home and as many as 54% draws, suggesting difficulties in breaking down opponents at their own ground. Gubbio as visitors also do not impress with their efficiency (23% wins, 38% draws), however, in their last five matches overall, they have gained more points (1.4 PPG) than the hosts (0.8 PPG). A key factor is the very similar average goals scored by both teams in their matches (0.69 per game), which, combined with a high percentage of matches without a goal scored (46% FTS% for both teams), indicates low offensive efficiency. Considering the dominance of draws in Monterosi's home matches and the balanced strength of both sides, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Nuova Monterosi vs Gubbio: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nuova Monterosi played against Gubbio in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Nuova Monterosi has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Gubbio has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Nuova Monterosi scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 0.92. Gubbio scores 0.81 and allows 0.77. Games in this league average 2.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Nuova Monterosi's games and 35% of Gubbio's. The Over 2.5 rates are 31% and 8%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nuova Monterosi has the higher season xG average, 1.22 to 1.19 per game. Nuova Monterosi takes 9.2 shots per game, while Gubbio takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Nuova Monterosi leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Gubbio leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nuova Monterosi's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Gubbio, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.25 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between two teams in similar form. Nuova Monterosi shows poor home form with just 15% wins at home and as many as 54% draws, suggesting difficulties in breaking down opponents at their own ground. Gubbio as visitors also do not impress with their efficiency (23% wins, 38% draws), however, in their last five matches overall, they have gained more points (1.4 PPG) than the hosts (0.8 PPG). A key factor is the very similar average goals scored by both teams in their matches (0.69 per game), which, combined with a high percentage of matches without a goal scored (46% FTS% for both teams), indicates low offensive efficiency. Considering the dominance of draws in Monterosi's home matches and the balanced strength of both sides, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nuova Monterosi | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gubbio is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Nuova Monterosi · 1.4 pts / game - Gubbio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nuova Monterosi is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Nuova Monterosi · 0.81 goals / game - Gubbio
Gubbio is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.92 goals / game - Nuova Monterosi · 0.77 goals / game - Gubbio
Nuova Monterosi scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 meczów), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 meczów).
Gubbio scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 meczów), while Nuova Monterosi keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nuova Monterosi
Over / Under - Gubbio
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nuova Monterosi is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / game - Nuova Monterosi · 1.15 pts / game - Gubbio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nuova Monterosi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Gubbio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nuova Monterosi
Gubbio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Nuova Monterosi | Liga | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.81 | 2.25 | ▼ 1.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 38% | ▼ 8% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 30% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 64% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Nuova Monterosi's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Gubbio. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nuova Monterosi vs Gubbio?
The Serie C Group B match finished Nuova Monterosi 0:1 Gubbio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nuova Monterosi vs Gubbio?
Nuova Monterosi score 0.88 goals per game on average and Gubbio 0.81. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Nuova Monterosi's matches and 35% of Gubbio's.
What form are Nuova Monterosi and Gubbio in?
Over the last 5 games Nuova Monterosi have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Gubbio 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nuova Monterosi vs Gubbio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nuova Monterosi vs Gubbio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.