NY Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence: match statistics
NY Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
NY Cosmos played against Charlotte Independence in USL League One (United States). The game was played on April 3, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
NY Cosmos has 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.75 points per game. Charlotte Independence has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
NY Cosmos scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 2.25. Charlotte Independence scores 2.50 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of NY Cosmos's games and 50% of Charlotte Independence's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 50%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Charlotte Independence has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.27 per game. NY Cosmos takes 10.3 shots per game, while Charlotte Independence takes 18.0.
First-half and second-half trends
NY Cosmos leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Charlotte Independence leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
NY Cosmos's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Charlotte Independence, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL League One games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Charlotte Independence appear to be favorites for this match: in their last 5 games they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss and scored 13 goals, while NY Cosmos in their last 5 have only 1 win and 4 losses and conceded 11 goals. The difference in chance creation is significant — the visitors average 20 shots and 5 on target away with 61% possession and an average xG of 1.81, whereas the home side at home average 8 shots and 4.5 on target, 34% possession and xG 1.19. Defensively Cosmos are more exposed, conceding 1.5 goals per home game on average (xG against 1.64), while Charlotte concede 1.0 goals away (xG against 0.94). Cosmos have higher efficiency at home (conversion 19% and on average 1.5 goals per game and 50% clean sheets), but given Charlotte’s superiority in shot volume, quality of chances (xG 1.81 vs 1.19) and better form (average points in the last 5 matches 2.0 for Charlotte vs 0.6 for Cosmos), I back the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 80%. The home side averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 2.2, while the away side scores 2.6 and concedes 1.2. xG reflects a similar offensive dynamic: xG is 1.74 for NY Cosmos and 1.81 for Charlotte, with xG against at 1.36 and 0.94, meaning both teams create over 1.7 xG per game and have realistic chances to score. Additionally, both teams register a high volume of shots (averaging 16 and 20) and 5 shots on target each, while the home side’s conversion rate of 25% versus the away side’s 5% suggests even fewer on-target attempts can translate into goals. Despite seasonal contradictions — home team seasonally shows 0% BTTS and 100% clean sheets, and the away team 100% BTTS — the form over the last 5 matches is more important, where both sides consistently concede and allow goals from both ends. Based on this, I favor BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 78% versus 22% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A Poisson model based on xG (NY Cosmos xG_for 1.74, Charlotte xG_for 1.81; xG_against: Cosmos 1.36, Charlotte 0.94) yields expected goals: Cosmos ≈1.34 and Charlotte ≈1.59, totaling ≈2.93. From this distribution the probabilities are: Over 1.5 ≈79%, Over 2.5 ≈56% and Over 3.5 ≈34%. Additionally, seasonally Cosmos average 4.0 goals per match from 16 shots with a 25% conversion rate, and in the last 5 matches Cosmos scored 7 goals (1.4/match) while Charlotte scored 13 goals (2.6/match), with Over 2.5 occurring in 80% of those games. Considering the xG, the hosts’ high conversion rate and both teams’ scoring form, I back Over 2.5 goals as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
NY Cosmos led at the break in 100% of their matches (1 of 1), averaging 3.0 goals in the first half and conceding none (0.0), while Charlotte were trailing at half-time in 100% (1 of 1) and averaged 0.0 HT goals. Over the season the home side averages 4.0 goals per game versus Charlotte’s 1.0, and at home they have a 100% win rate (3 points) and 100% clean sheets, which strongly favors NY Cosmos for the Full-Time result. xG is 1.74 for the hosts versus 1.81 for the visitors, but shot conversion is 25.0% for Cosmos against 5.0% for Charlotte, so similar xG translates into more goals for the hosts. Charlotte have better overall form (last 5 matches: 60% wins for the away side vs 20% for the home side) and are capable of turnarounds after the break, therefore a Half-Time draw is possible but less likely. Given the hosts’ consistent HT leads and higher efficiency, I selected HT/FT 1/1 as the most secure scenario (58%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| NY Cosmos | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Charlotte Independence is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.75 pts / game - NY Cosmos · 2 pts / game - Charlotte Independence
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charlotte Independence is 67% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - NY Cosmos · 2.5 goals / game - Charlotte Independence
Charlotte Independence is 350% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.25 goals / game - NY Cosmos · 0.5 goals / game - Charlotte Independence
NY Cosmos scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
Charlotte Independence scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while NY Cosmos keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NY Cosmos
Over / Under - Charlotte Independence
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Charlotte Independence is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - NY Cosmos · 1.5 pts / game - Charlotte Independence
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NY Cosmos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Charlotte Independence - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
NY Cosmos
Charlotte Independence
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| NY Cosmos | Liga | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.75 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of NY Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence?
The USL League One match finished NY Cosmos 3:2 Charlotte Independence. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NY Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence?
NY Cosmos score 1.50 goals per game on average and Charlotte Independence 2.50. The USL League One average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of NY Cosmos's matches and 50% of Charlotte Independence's.
What form are NY Cosmos and Charlotte Independence in?
Over the last 5 games NY Cosmos have a 1-0-3 record (0.75 points per game) and Charlotte Independence 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NY Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.