Ogre United vs FS Jelgava: match statistics
Ogre United vs FS Jelgava: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ogre United play FS Jelgava in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 27 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ogre United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. FS Jelgava: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ogre United scores 0.91 and concedes 2.57 goals per match. FS Jelgava scores 1.04 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ogre United 61%, FS Jelgava 43%. Over 2.5: Ogre United 61%, FS Jelgava 39%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
FS Jelgava has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.13. Ogre United: 10.0 shots per match, FS Jelgava: 10.6.
Match halves
Ogre United: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.61. FS Jelgava: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Ogre United: 46-60 (6 goals). FS Jelgava: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Forecast: draw (X) — both teams rarely win and often draw: Ogre United have 0 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses this season, while FS Jelgava have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses, with home draw rate 60% and away draw rate 67%. In attack both units are inefficient: hosts average 0.8 goals per home match with average xG 1.07, visitors average 0.67 goals on the road with xG 1.28; shot conversion is 8% versus 6%, explaining the low goal return. Defence also offers no clear advantage: hosts concede 1.2 goals at home on average (xG against 1.63), and Jelgava concede 1.0 on trips (xG against 1.83), but in the last 5 matches the visitors have conceded 14 goals while the hosts conceded 10. Ogre United have a slight form edge in recent weeks — points per game in the last 5 is 0.4 versus 0.2 for Jelgava — and are less often shut out at home (failed to score in only 20% of home matches versus 33% of visitors’ away matches), while the visitors register more on-target shots (2.67 on target average versus 1.8 for the hosts). Considering the high draw rates (60% vs 67%), low finishing efficiency and lack of clean sheets (0% clean sheets for both), I project a draw with 55% probability, 30% for a home win and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ogre United | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FS Jelgava is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Ogre United · 1.8 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FS Jelgava is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Ogre United · 1.04 goals / match - FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.57 goals / match - Ogre United · 1.7 goals / match - FS Jelgava
Ogre United scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
FS Jelgava scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ogre United
Over / Under — FS Jelgava
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FS Jelgava is 175% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.52 pts / match - Ogre United · 1.43 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ogre United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Ogre United | Liga | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.48 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ogre United 1 - 0 - 0 FS Jelgava. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ogre United vs FS Jelgava?
The Virsliga match finished Ogre United 0:1 FS Jelgava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ogre United vs FS Jelgava?
Ogre United score 0.91 goals per game on average and FS Jelgava 1.04. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Ogre United's matches and 43% of FS Jelgava's.
What form are Ogre United and FS Jelgava in?
Over the last 5 games Ogre United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and FS Jelgava 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ogre United vs FS Jelgava?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ogre United vs FS Jelgava: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.