Ogre United vs Liepāja: match statistics
Ogre United displays stable home form with a 100% draw record at their stadium, indicating defensive solidity in home matches. The home team dominates in terms of possession (58%) and generates a decent number of shots (an average of 13 per match), although their efficiency needs improvement (8% conversion rate). Liepāja has not played any official away matches this season, making their away form a complete unknown and a significant risk factor. The recent form of both teams is identical (1.4 pts/match), but the home advantage and the lack of away data for the opponent speak in favor of Ogre United. Considering the hosts' tendency for draws and the uncertainty regarding Liepāja, I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the home team.
Ogre United vs Liepāja: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ogre United play Liepāja in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 20 March 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ogre United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Liepāja: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ogre United scores 0.91 and concedes 2.57 goals per match. Liepāja scores 1.27 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ogre United 61%, Liepāja 55%. Over 2.5: Ogre United 61%, Liepāja 59%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Liepāja has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.12. Ogre United: 10.0 shots per match, Liepāja: 12.4.
Match halves
Ogre United: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.61. Liepāja: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Ogre United: 46-60 (6 goals). Liepāja: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Ogre United displays stable home form with a 100% draw record at their stadium, indicating defensive solidity in home matches. The home team dominates in terms of possession (58%) and generates a decent number of shots (an average of 13 per match), although their efficiency needs improvement (8% conversion rate). Liepāja has not played any official away matches this season, making their away form a complete unknown and a significant risk factor. The recent form of both teams is identical (1.4 pts/match), but the home advantage and the lack of away data for the opponent speak in favor of Ogre United. Considering the hosts' tendency for draws and the uncertainty regarding Liepāja, I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the home team.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ogre United | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ogre United is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Ogre United · 0.6 pts / match - Liepāja
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liepāja is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Ogre United · 1.27 goals / match - Liepāja
Liepāja is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.57 goals / match - Ogre United · 1.55 goals / match - Liepāja
Ogre United scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
Liepāja scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ogre United
Over / Under — Liepāja
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Liepāja is 137% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.52 pts / match - Ogre United · 1.23 pts / match - Liepāja
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ogre United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ogre United
Liepāja
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Ogre United | Liga | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.48 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 24% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 84% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ogre United 0 - 0 - 2 Liepāja. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ogre United vs Liepāja?
The Virsliga match finished Ogre United 0:1 Liepāja. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ogre United and Liepāja?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ogre United won 0, Liepāja won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ogre United vs Liepāja?
Ogre United score 0.91 goals per game on average and Liepāja 1.27. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Ogre United's matches and 55% of Liepāja's.
What form are Ogre United and Liepāja in?
Over the last 5 games Ogre United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Liepāja 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ogre United vs Liepāja?
The statistical background for Ogre United vs Liepāja — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.