Ogre United vs Rīgas FS: match statistics
Ogre United vs Rīgas FS: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ogre United played against Rīgas FS in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 3:4.
Recent form
Ogre United has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Rīgas FS has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Ogre United scores 0.56 goals per game and allows 1.67. Rīgas FS scores 1.78 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 2.81 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Ogre United's games and 33% of Rīgas FS's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 33%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rīgas FS has the higher season xG average, 1.93 to 0.97 per game. Ogre United takes 8.9 shots per game, while Rīgas FS takes 16.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Ogre United leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Rīgas FS leads at halftime in 44% and scores 1.11 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ogre United's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Rīgas FS, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.81 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rīgas FS are the favorites: as leaders (position 1) they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss this season, while Ogre United have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. In their last 5 matches Rīgas scored 9 goals and averaged 2.6 points per game (4 wins and 1 draw), whereas Ogre scored 3 goals, failed to win any match and average only 0.4 points per game with 9 goals conceded. The visitors create significantly more chances: on average 16.5 shots and 5.0 on target per away match with xG 1.92, versus 10.5 shots and 1.83 on target and xG 1.10 for the home side. Defensively Rīgas perform better — they concede 0.25 goals away and keep 75% clean sheets, while the hosts concede 1.17 goals at home, have no clean sheets and only 33% of matches without conceding; additionally xG against shows 0.64 for the visitors versus 1.64 for the hosts. Considering the advantage in chance creation (xG 1.92 vs 1.10), higher shot volume (16.5 vs 10.5), superior defense (0.25 vs 1.17) and clear form (2.6 vs 0.4 pts/game), I tip a win for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Rīgas FS records a seasonal 75% clean sheet rate and concedes only 0.25 goals per game on average, while the visitors have only 25% of matches with BTTS—this is the strongest signal against Goal/Goal. Ogre United have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches (0.6 per game) and conceded 9 goals (1.8 per game); despite a seasonal home scoring rate of 2.2 goals per game, their offensive form is limited. Seasonal xG is similar (1.94 for Ogre vs 1.92 for Rīgas), but recent xG conceded shows a big gap: 1.85 for the hosts versus 0.73 for the visitors, confirming Rīgas FS’s improved defensive organization recently. Despite a league-level BTTS of 60%, the advantage in clean sheet statistics (75% vs 40%) and the visitors’ form (last 5: 4 wins and a draw) point to No Goal being more likely. I estimate BTTS probability at around 25% and No Goal at 75%, therefore I recommend backing 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The attacking xG is 1.94 for Ogre United and 1.92 for Rīgas FS, while xG conceded vs this opponent is 0.76 (home) and 0.64 (away). Averaging the teams’ attack and opponent defense yields expected goals of 1.29 for the home side ((1.94+0.64)/2) and 1.34 for the away side ((1.92+0.76)/2), totaling 2.63 goals. A Poisson model with lambda=2.63 produces roughly a 74% chance of Over 1.5 (probability of 0–1 goals ≈26%), ~49% for Over 2.5 and ~27% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Additionally, the visitors have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches (1.8 avg) versus the hosts’ 3 goals in their last 5 (0.6 avg), and the home team has a higher shot conversion rate 13% vs 8% with a similar shot volume (16.8 vs 16.5), confirming real goal-scoring potential. For these reasons I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the most probable and strongest line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rīgas FS led at the break in 3 of their 4 matches (75%) and have 100% clean sheets at half-time, while Ogre United led at the break only once (20%). In their last 5 matches Rīgas show form 'wwwwd' (4 wins and 1 draw, 80% win rate), whereas Ogre are 'lddll' (0 wins in 5, 0%), which clearly favors the visitors. Seasonally Ogre average 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Rīgas score 1.25 and concede only 0.25, with very similar xG of 1.94 versus 1.92, so the advantage lies in the visitors’ defensive stability. Given Rīgas’ 75% leads at the break and their 100% half-time clean sheets combined with dominant form, the strongest scenario is Rīgas leading at the break and ultimately winning (2/2). I assign this scenario the highest probability (51%); the second most likely is a draw at half-time and a visitor turnaround to win (X/2 15%); a home lead at half-time and home win is assessed as unlikely (1/1 4%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ogre United | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 20% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rīgas FS is 550% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Ogre United · 2.6 pts / game - Rīgas FS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 218% better for: goals scored per game.
0.56 goals / game - Ogre United · 1.78 goals / game - Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS is 149% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.67 goals / game - Ogre United · 0.67 goals / game - Rīgas FS
Ogre United scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 meczów), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 meczów).
Rīgas FS scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 meczów), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ogre United
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 305% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.44 pts / game - Ogre United · 1.78 pts / game - Rīgas FS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ogre United - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 78%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Ogre United | Liga | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.22 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ogre United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Rīgas FS. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?
The Virsliga match finished Ogre United 3:4 Rīgas FS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?
Ogre United score 0.56 goals per game on average and Rīgas FS 1.78. The Virsliga average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Ogre United's matches and 33% of Rīgas FS's.
What form are Ogre United and Rīgas FS in?
Over the last 5 games Ogre United have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Rīgas FS 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ogre United vs Rīgas FS: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.