Ogre United vs Super Nova: match statistics
Ogre United vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ogre United play Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Ogre United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Super Nova: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ogre United scores 0.95 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Super Nova scores 1.05 and concedes 1.59. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ogre United 64%, Super Nova 64%. Over 2.5: Ogre United 59%, Super Nova 59%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Super Nova has higher xG: 1.15 vs 1.09. Ogre United: 9.7 shots per match, Super Nova: 8.6.
Match halves
Ogre United: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.64. Super Nova: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Ogre United: 46-60 (6 goals). Super Nova: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Super Nova has a clear advantage in offense: on average 1.5 goals per away match versus the hosts’ 0.5 goals at home, and in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 8 goals while Ogre United scored 5. The visitors average 5 shots on target per away match with a conversion rate of 14%, whereas the hosts produce only 2 shots on target and a 5% conversion, indicating Super Nova creates and converts significantly better scoring opportunities. Nominally the hosts have a slightly better defence (conceding 1.0 goals at home on average versus 1.5 conceded by Super Nova away), but Ogre United has not won at home yet (0% wins) and failed to score in 50% of home games. xG also favors the visitors: Super Nova’s average away xG is 1.45 versus the hosts’ 1.19 xG, and xG against is comparable (1.63 vs 1.68), which suggests a real advantage for the visitors in creating quality chances. Considering these figures and the identical 1.4 points per match over the last 5 fixtures for both teams, I forecast a Super Nova victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ogre United | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ogre United is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ogre United · 0.8 pts / match - Super Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Ogre United · 1.05 goals / match - Super Nova
Super Nova is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - Ogre United · 1.59 goals / match - Super Nova
Ogre United scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Super Nova scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ogre United
Over / Under — Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.55 pts / match - Ogre United · 1.05 pts / match - Super Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ogre United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ogre United
Super Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Ogre United | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.45 | 3.00 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 23% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ogre United 1 - 0 - 1 Super Nova. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ogre United vs Super Nova?
The Virsliga match finished Ogre United 1:2 Super Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ogre United and Super Nova?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ogre United won 1, Super Nova won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ogre United vs Super Nova?
Ogre United score 0.95 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.05. The Virsliga average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Ogre United's matches and 64% of Super Nova's.
What form are Ogre United and Super Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Ogre United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Super Nova 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ogre United vs Super Nova?
The statistical background for Ogre United vs Super Nova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.