Oldham Athletic vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched odds for both teams. Oldham Athletic is showcasing excellent form over their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 2.6 PPG) and remains undefeated, granting them a psychological edge. Grimsby Town holds a higher position in the table (7th place) and boasts a better away record (41% win rate), though their recent form has dipped (1.6 PPG). A crucial factor is the hosts' solid defense in recent fixtures (only 1 goal conceded in 5 matches) alongside the fact that Grimsby rarely fails to score on the road (18% FTS%). Given Oldham's high home draw percentage (41%) and the closely matched average xG of both teams, the most likely scenario is a share of the points, although the hosts could leverage their outstanding streak to secure a win.
Oldham Athletic vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Oldham Athletic played against Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Oldham Athletic has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Grimsby Town has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Oldham Athletic scores 1.15 goals per game and allows 0.91. Grimsby Town scores 1.43 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Oldham Athletic's games and 49% of Grimsby Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 43%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.54 per game. Oldham Athletic takes 13.4 shots per game, while Grimsby Town takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Oldham Athletic leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Oldham Athletic's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Grimsby Town, it is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched odds for both teams. Oldham Athletic is showcasing excellent form over their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 2.6 PPG) and remains undefeated, granting them a psychological edge. Grimsby Town holds a higher position in the table (7th place) and boasts a better away record (41% win rate), though their recent form has dipped (1.6 PPG). A crucial factor is the hosts' solid defense in recent fixtures (only 1 goal conceded in 5 matches) alongside the fact that Grimsby rarely fails to score on the road (18% FTS%). Given Oldham's high home draw percentage (41%) and the closely matched average xG of both teams, the most likely scenario is a share of the points, although the hosts could leverage their outstanding streak to secure a win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Oldham Athletic | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Oldham Athletic is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Oldham Athletic · 1.6 pts / game - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
1.15 goals / game - Oldham Athletic · 1.43 goals / game - Grimsby Town
Oldham Athletic is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.91 goals / game - Oldham Athletic · 1.11 goals / game - Grimsby Town
Oldham Athletic scores in 65% of games (22 of 34 meczów), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 37% (13 of 35 meczów).
Grimsby Town scores in 80% of games (28 of 35 meczów), while Oldham Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oldham Athletic
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - Oldham Athletic · 1.34 pts / game - Grimsby Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oldham Athletic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Oldham Athletic
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Oldham Athletic | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.06 | 2.57 | • 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 54% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 26% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Oldham Athletic's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Grimsby Town. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Oldham Athletic vs Grimsby Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Oldham Athletic 1:0 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Oldham Athletic vs Grimsby Town?
Oldham Athletic score 1.15 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.43. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Oldham Athletic's matches and 49% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Oldham Athletic and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Oldham Athletic have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Grimsby Town 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oldham Athletic vs Grimsby Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.