Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza: match statistics
Łomża displays significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 3rd place in the table with a record of 14 wins and only 5 losses. The visitors are characterized by excellent away performance – a 55% win rate, 1.91 goals scored on average, and a solid defense (conceding 1 goal per match on average). Olimpia Elbląg is only in 11th position, has a negative overall record (8-6-9), and shows poor form in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 losses, PPG 1.2). The hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals in home matches, which, given Łomża's offensive strength (52 goals this season), poses a serious threat. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.77 for the visitors vs 1.48 for the hosts) points towards a victory for the Łomża side. Despite the home advantage for Olimpia, the disparity in strength is too significant to predict any outcome other than an away win.
Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Olimpia Elbląg played against Lomza in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The game was played on March 28, 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Recent form
Olimpia Elbląg has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Lomza has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Olimpia Elbląg scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 1.83. Lomza scores 2.26 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 3.41 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Olimpia Elbląg's games and 52% of Lomza's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 57%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lomza has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.35 per game. Olimpia Elbląg takes 8.0 shots per game, while Lomza takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Olimpia Elbląg leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Lomza leads at halftime in 35% and scores 1.39 after halftime.
When the teams score
Olimpia Elbląg's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Lomza, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 1 games average 3.41 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Łomża displays significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 3rd place in the table with a record of 14 wins and only 5 losses. The visitors are characterized by excellent away performance – a 55% win rate, 1.91 goals scored on average, and a solid defense (conceding 1 goal per match on average). Olimpia Elbląg is only in 11th position, has a negative overall record (8-6-9), and shows poor form in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 losses, PPG 1.2). The hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals in home matches, which, given Łomża's offensive strength (52 goals this season), poses a serious threat. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.77 for the visitors vs 1.48 for the hosts) points towards a victory for the Łomża side. Despite the home advantage for Olimpia, the disparity in strength is too significant to predict any outcome other than an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data supports BTTS: Olimpia has a 58% BTTS rate and 0% FTS (they almost always score), while Łomża averages 1.91 goals per match with an xG of 1.77. In their last 5 matches, both teams show a 60% BTTS rate, and Olimpia's defense has been conceding 1.8 goals per match during this period, increasing the chances of an away goal. Łomża generates a solid volume of chances (5.78 shots on target per match), and their xGA of 1.47 suggests they allow opponents opportunities, favoring a home goal. The league profile is distinctly high-scoring (averaging 3.41 goals per match and 64% BTTS), which further raises the baseline probability of both teams scoring. A risk factor for BTTS is the relatively high clean sheet rate (Olimpia 42%, Łomża 36%) and Łomża's 27% FTS, but the visitors' scoring form (2.6 goals per match in the last 5) balances this risk.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal profile of the match is high: Olimpia average 2.58 goals scored per home game, while Łomża average 1.91 goals conceded away, against a league average of 3.41 goals. Lower lines are strongly supported by the frequency of results: Over 1.5 goals has occurred in 100% of Olimpia's home matches and 82% of Łomża's away matches. A model based on a mix of goals and xG (Olimpia xG for 1.9 vs. xG against Łomża 1.47; Łomża xG for 1.77 vs. xG against Olimpia 1.16) yields approximately 3.18 total expected goals. The last 5 meetings further boost the goal-scoring potential, mainly from the visitors' side (2.6 goals scored), with Olimpia conceding an average of 1.8 goals in this period, increasing the chances for at least 2 goals in the match. However, Łomża's high defensive discipline this season (GA away 1.0 and 0% of matches with 3+ goals conceded) limits confidence in Over 3.5, making Over 1.5 the strongest selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for halftime is a draw: Lomza very frequently draws at HT (64%), while simultaneously maintaining a high clean sheet rate in the first half (73%) and conceding few goals before the break (0.36 on average), limiting Olympia's chances of building an early lead. Nonetheless, in terms of overall match quality, the advantage lies with the home side (PPG 2.17 vs 1.82; higher xG for 1.90 vs 1.77 and better xG against 1.16 vs 1.47, along with superior shot accuracy 17% vs 12%). The second half is also crucial, where Olympia has a very strong performance profile (2HG PPG 2.5; 75% wins and 0% losses, conceding only 0.33 goals on average). Goal statistics indicate frequent scoring after the interval (over 0.5 in the 2nd half: 92% vs 91%), favoring a late-match 'turnaround' scenario benefiting the hosts. Simultaneously, Lomza's better form in the last 5 matches (2.6 goals scored per match) increases the risk for the X/2 and 2/2 HT/FT outcomes but does not negate Olympia's advantages over a longer horizon.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Olimpia Elbląg | Lomza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lomza is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Olimpia Elbląg · 1.8 pts / game - Lomza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lomza is 49% better for: goals scored per game.
1.52 goals / game - Olimpia Elbląg · 2.26 goals / game - Lomza
Lomza is 76% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.83 goals / game - Olimpia Elbląg · 1.04 goals / game - Lomza
Olimpia Elbląg scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 games), while Lomza keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 games).
Lomza scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 games), while Olimpia Elbląg keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olimpia Elbląg
Over / Under - Lomza
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lomza is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Olimpia Elbląg · 1.48 pts / game - Lomza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olimpia Elbląg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lomza - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Olimpia Elbląg
Lomza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Olimpia Elbląg | Liga | Lomza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.35 | 3.41 | ▼ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 20% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 86% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- LomzaGoalDawid Dzięgielewski
Head-to-head
Record from Olimpia Elbląg's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Lomza. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Olimpia Elbląg 0:3 Lomza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza?
Olimpia Elbląg score 1.52 goals per game on average and Lomza 2.26. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Olimpia Elbląg's matches and 52% of Lomza's.
What form are Olimpia Elbląg and Lomza in?
Over the last 5 games Olimpia Elbląg have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Lomza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.