Poland - 3 Liga Group 1Stadion MOSiRData current as of October 16, 2026

Olimpia Elbląg vs Mławianka Mława: match statistics

Olimpia Elbląg vs Mławianka Mława: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Olimpia Elbląg played against Mławianka Mława in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Stadion MOSiR. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Olimpia Elbląg has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Mławianka Mława has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Olimpia Elbląg scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 1.82. Mławianka Mława scores 2.00 and allows 2.91. Games in this league average 3.60 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 73% of Olimpia Elbląg's games and 73% of Mławianka Mława's. The Over 2.5 rates are 73% and 73%, compared with league averages of 70% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mławianka Mława has the higher season xG average, 1.92 to 1.57 per game. Olimpia Elbląg takes 10.7 shots per game, while Mławianka Mława takes 13.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Olimpia Elbląg leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Mławianka Mława leads at halftime in 18% and scores 1.27 after halftime.

When the teams score

Olimpia Elbląg's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Mławianka Mława, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

3 Liga Group 1 games average 3.60 goals. Both teams score in 70% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Olimpia Elbląg have a slight edge thanks to home advantage and their opponents’ defensive frailties: Mławianka Mława concede an average of 3.5 goals per away game, while the hosts score 1.33 at home. However, the visitors are more dangerous in attack, averaging 2.33 goals away from home against 1.94 xG, and have scored 14 goals in their last five matches compared with Olimpia’s 6. Their attacking threat is offset by defensive problems: they have conceded 17 goals across those same five games, while the hosts have conceded 8. Both teams have won 2 of their last 5 matches, but Mławianka’s away goal difference stands at minus 7, and Olimpia have lost 67% of their home games. Therefore, a home win is the most likely outcome, although the visitors’ attacking efficiency makes this far from a confident pick.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS occurred in 60% of Olimpia Elbląg matches and 83% of Mławianka Mława matches; over their last 5 appearances, the figures were 60% and 80%, respectively. Olimpia concede an average of 2.2 goals per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet, which bodes well for the visitors, who score an average of 2.33 goals. On the other hand, Mławianka concede as many as 3.5 goals per match, or 3.4 over their last 5 matches, giving the hosts a clear chance to find the net as well. The teams’ average xG figures—1.86 for Olimpia and 1.94 for Mławianka—further support the prospect of both sides scoring. The risk with this pick is that Olimpia have failed to score in 40% of their matches; however, the visitors’ defensive struggles point towards BTTS - Yes.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Mławianka concede an average of 3.5 goals per match and have conceded 3.4 in their last five games, giving Olimpia—who average 1.6 goals—a clear opportunity to find the net. The visitors also carry attacking threat: they score an average of 2.33 goals, while Olimpia concede 2.2 and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their matches. Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of Olimpia’s and 80% of Mławianka’s last five games, giving higher lines a strong statistical basis as well. The strongest signal, however, is Over 1.5 goals: this line landed in 80% and 83% of the teams’ matches, respectively, while the projected total of 4.4 goals provides a substantial margin over it.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Olimpia led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Mławianka conceded an average of 0.8 goals before half-time over that period, which supports the prospect of the home side leading at the break. Their chances of holding on to that lead are boosted by the visitors’ poor defense: they concede an average of 3.5 goals per match this season and 3.4 across their last five games. In addition, Olimpia’s average xG is 1.86, while their opponents allow chances worth 2.03 xG per match. However, the 1/1 HT/FT pick is not without risk, as Mławianka score an average of 2.33 goals and have netted 1.4 goals after half-time in their last five matches, compared with just 0.2 for Olimpia. Despite this, Olimpia’s recent tendency to lead at the break, combined with the high number of goals conceded by the visitors, makes 1/1 the most likely single scenario.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

-1Possession (%)-1
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
-1Shots-1
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
-1Shots on target-1
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
0xG0
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
-1Corners-1
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
0Dangerous attacks0
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
-1Fouls-1
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
-1Cards-1
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
1.45Goals scored / game2
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
1.82Goals allowed / game2.91
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
43%Average possession40%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
4.45Shots on target / game5.27
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.73Shots per game13.27
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
4.45Shots on target5.27
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
13.6%Shot conversion15.1%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
43%Possession40%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
1.57xG for1.92
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
1.61xG against1.94
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

Shooting quality

Olimpia Elbląg: Counter-attackingMławianka Mława: Counter-attacking
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
Accuracy (shots on target)41%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Olimpia Elbląg
LWLLW
Season result split
36% W9% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-6
1.18 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Mławianka Mława
LLWWL
Season result split
27% W9% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-7
0.91 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 3.4xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 2.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mławianka Mława is 38% better for: goals scored per game.

1.45 goals / game - Olimpia Elbląg · 2 goals / game - Mławianka Mława

Olimpia Elbląg is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.82 goals / game - Olimpia Elbląg · 2.91 goals / game - Mławianka Mława

Olimpia Elbląg scoring profile: very strong

Olimpia Elbląg scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 games), while Mławianka Mława keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 games).

Mławianka Mława scoring profile: very strong

Mławianka Mława scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 games), while Olimpia Elbląg keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).

16Goals scored (season)22
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
20Goals conceded (season)32
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
3.27Average goals per game4.91
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
6Goals scored (last 5)14
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
8Goals conceded (last 5)17
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal73%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
36%2 goals64%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
9%3 goals36%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
9%4 goals27%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal91%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
73%2 goals64%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
18%3 goals55%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
9%4 goals36%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

70%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time27%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
9%BTTS in both halves18%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
18%Scored in both halves45%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

BTTS and goal count

73%Min. 3 goals and BTTS73%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
60%BTTS - last 580%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time55%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
36%Min. 3 goals after half-time64%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Olimpia Elbląg is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.73 pts / game - Olimpia Elbląg · 1 pts / game - Mławianka Mława

Olimpia Elbląg - half-time state
45% leading36% draw18% trailing
Mławianka Mława - half-time state
18% leading45% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.73Points per game (1st half)1
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.73
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)1
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.73
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
64%Clean sheet before half-time36%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
36%No goal before half-time55%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)1.27
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
1.27Goals conceded (2nd half)1.91
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
1.82Average goals (2nd half)3.18
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
27%Clean sheet after half-time18%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława
64%No goal after half-time27%
Olimpia ElblągMławianka Mława

Olimpia Elbląg - second-half results

27% W18% D55% L
19
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 36%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mławianka Mława - second-half results

27% W18% D55% L
11
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.9

Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Olimpia Elbląg - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.80
Goals scored / game1.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.61.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+2-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Mławianka Mława - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.60
Goals scored / game1.41.4
Goals allowed / game0.82.6
Average goals per game2.24.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%80%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3-6
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Olimpia Elbląg
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
5
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
5
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Mławianka Mława
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
0
4
16-30
3
5
31-45
6
8
46-60
4
5
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.09
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.2 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Olimpia Elbląg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 31% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Mławianka Mława

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.97
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
152%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).

Teams vs league

Olimpia ElblągLigaMławianka Mława
Average goals per game▼ 3.273.60▲ 4.91
Both teams scored▲ 73%70%▲ 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 73%65%▲ 73%
Clean sheets▲ 18%16%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time• 73%73%▲ 82%
Goal after half-time• 82%82%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.60
Average goals per game
70%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
1.92
Home goals / game
1.68
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
36%
3 goals
16%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

—Tomasz Kaczmarek⚽ 1

Away team

Other recorded players

—Mateusz Stryjewski⚽ 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Olimpia ElblągGoalTomasz Kaczmarek
  2. Mławianka MławaGoalMateusz Stryjewski

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Olimpia Elbląg's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Mławianka Mława. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Olimpia Elbląg
0 : 2
Mławianka Mława
Mławianka Mława
1 : 1
Olimpia Elbląg

FAQ

What was the result of Olimpia Elbląg vs Mławianka Mława?

The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Olimpia Elbląg 2:1 Mławianka Mława. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Olimpia Elbląg and Mławianka Mława?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Olimpia Elbląg won 0, Mławianka Mława won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Olimpia Elbląg vs Mławianka Mława?

Olimpia Elbląg score 1.45 goals per game on average and Mławianka Mława 2.00. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Olimpia Elbląg's matches and 73% of Mławianka Mława's.

What form are Olimpia Elbląg and Mławianka Mława in?

Over the last 5 games Olimpia Elbląg have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Mławianka Mława 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpia Elbląg vs Mławianka Mława?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.