Paraguay - Division ProfesionalEstadio Manuel FerreiraData current as of October 16, 2026

Olimpia vs Nacional Asunción: match statistics

Olimpia crest
Olimpia
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Nacional Asunción crest
Nacional Asunción

Olimpia vs Nacional Asunción: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Olimpia played against Nacional Asunción in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on October 6, 2026. Venue: Estadio Manuel Ferreira. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Olimpia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Nacional Asunción has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Olimpia scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 0.79. Nacional Asunción scores 1.47 and allows 0.85. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 48% of Olimpia's games and 56% of Nacional Asunción's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 41%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Olimpia has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.37 per game. Olimpia takes 16.1 shots per game, while Nacional Asunción takes 12.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Olimpia leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 1.09 goals per game after halftime. Nacional Asunción leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.85 after halftime.

When the teams score

Olimpia's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (14 goals). For Nacional Asunción, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Division Profesional games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Olimpia have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals in the process, while Nacional Asunción have recorded 2 wins and scored 7 goals. At home, the hosts win 69% of their matches and average 2 goals, whereas the visitors win 29% of their away games and average 1.18 goals. Olimpia’s edge in chance creation is reflected in their average home xG of 1.77, compared with Nacional’s away figure of 1.33. The hosts concede an average of 0.75 goals per home match, fewer than the visitors’ 1.06 on the road, and have conceded just 2 goals in their last five matches, compared with their opponents’ 4. However, Nacional draw 47% of their away matches, so a share of the points remains a realistic outcome despite Olimpia’s clear advantage.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Although both teams scored in 53% and 59% of their matches this season, Olimpia’s current defensive form supports a BTTS - No pick. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in 47% of their matches and conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 games, averaging 0.4 per match. Nacional average 1.18 goals per game this season, but may struggle to score against a defense conceding an average of 0.65. Olimpia also have a strong chance of finding the net themselves: they average 1.76 goals, while the visitors concede 1.06. In addition, both teams scored in only 40% of the sides’ last 5 matches, reinforcing the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this line has held in 88% of both teams’ matches, despite at least two goals being scored in 76% of each team’s games. Olimpia average 1.76 goals scored but concede just 0.65, limiting Nacional’s chances of pushing the total higher. In their last five matches, the hosts have conceded only 2 goals, while the visitors have averaged 1.4 goals scored. The expected total of 2.37 goals points to a scoreline in the 2–3 goal range rather than a total exceeding the selected line.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is Olimpia leading at the break and winning at full time: the hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 4 of their last 5 matches, and in 47% of their matches this season, compared with 18% for Nacional. In their last five matches, Olimpia scored an average of 1.2 goals before half-time and conceded none, strengthening the case for an early lead. Their advantage is also reflected in full-time results: Olimpia have won 65% of their matches, compared with a 29% win rate for the visitors, and score an average of 1.76 goals per match versus Nacional’s 1.18. The hosts also concede an average of just 0.24 goals after half-time, giving them a solid basis for protecting a lead. A half-time draw remains a significant alternative, as Nacional went in level at the break in 59% of their matches, but 1/1 has stronger overall support in the data.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

70Possession (%)30
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
30Shots6
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
4Shots on target3
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
2.76xG0.79
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
6Corners4
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
81Dangerous attacks27
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
8Fouls12
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
3Cards2
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

OlimpiaNacional Asunción
1.67Goals scored / game1.47
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
0.79Goals allowed / game0.85
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
57%Average possession51%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
5.39Shots on target / game4.32
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.09Shots per game12.62
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
5.39Shots on target4.32
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
10.4%Shot conversion11.7%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
57%Possession51%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
1.71xG for1.37
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
1.1xG against1.23
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

Shooting quality

Olimpia: DominantNacional Asunción: Balanced
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Olimpia is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Olimpia · 2 pts / game - Nacional Asunción

Olimpia
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
67% W15% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
22-5-6
2.15 pts / game · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-4-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Nacional Asunción
WLWWD
Season result split
47% W38% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-13-5
1.79 pts / game · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-8-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Olimpia is 14% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - Olimpia · 1.47 goals / game - Nacional Asunción

Olimpia is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.79 goals / game - Olimpia · 0.85 goals / game - Nacional Asunción

Olimpia scoring profile: very strong

Olimpia scores in 85% of games (28 of 33 games), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 games).

Nacional Asunción scoring profile: very strong

Nacional Asunción scores in 85% of games (29 of 34 games), while Olimpia keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 games).

55Goals scored (season)50
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
26Goals conceded (season)29
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
2.45Average goals per game2.32
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
10Goals scored (last 5)8
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
2Goals conceded (last 5)2
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal85%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
52%2 goals41%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
21%3 goals15%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
6%4 goals3%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal62%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
15%2 goals18%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
3%3 goals6%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
0%4 goals0%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
Nacional Asunción - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 34 games
52%
League average

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time26%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
3%BTTS in both halves3%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
33%Scored in both halves29%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
40%BTTS - last 520%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Olimpia is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.58 pts / game - Olimpia · 1.44 pts / game - Nacional Asunción

Olimpia - half-time state
39% leading39% draw21% trailing
Nacional Asunción - half-time state
32% leading47% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.58Points per game (1st half)1.44
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.62
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
0.88Average goals (1st half)1.09
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
73%Clean sheet before half-time59%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
55%No goal before half-time47%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

After half-time (2nd half)

1.94Points per game (2nd half)1.76
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
1.09Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.24
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
55%Clean sheet after half-time71%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción
27%No goal after half-time38%
OlimpiaNacional Asunción

Olimpia - second-half results

55% W30% D15% L
52
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding172%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nacional Asunción - second-half results

47% W35% D18% L
49
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Olimpia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.20
Goals scored / game1.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Nacional Asunción - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.80
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Olimpia
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
5
3
16-30
9
6
31-45
9
3
46-60
14
8
61-75
13
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Nacional Asunción
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
8
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
9
4
46-60
5
5
61-75
15
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Olimpia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Nacional Asunción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

OlimpiaLigaNacional Asunción
Average goals per game• 2.452.45▼ 2.32
Both teams scored▼ 48%52%▲ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 48%46%▼ 41%
Clean sheets▲ 39%27%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%65%▲ 68%
Goal after half-time▲ 88%81%▼ 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.45
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. OlimpiaYellow cardJuan Fernando Alfaro
  2. Nacional AsunciónYellow cardCarlos Espinola
  3. OlimpiaSubstitutionOn: Hugo SandovalOff: Rubén Lezcano
  4. OlimpiaYellow cardHugo Sandoval
  5. OlimpiaSubstitutionOn: Pedro ZarzaOff: Juan Fernando Alfaro

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Olimpia's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses against Nacional Asunción. Games average 2.57 goals, and both teams scored in 57% of them.

Nacional Asunción
2 : 0
Olimpia
Olimpia
3 : 0
Nacional Asunción
Nacional Asunción
1 : 2
Olimpia
Club Nacional
4 : 1
Club Olimpia
Club Olimpia
1 : 1
Club Nacional
Club Nacional
1 : 1
Club Olimpia
Club Olimpia
0 : 1
Club Nacional

FAQ

What was the result of Olimpia vs Nacional Asunción?

The Division Profesional match finished Olimpia 1:1 Nacional Asunción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Olimpia and Nacional Asunción?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 2, Nacional Asunción won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Olimpia vs Nacional Asunción?

Olimpia score 1.67 goals per game on average and Nacional Asunción 1.47. The Division Profesional average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Olimpia's matches and 56% of Nacional Asunción's.

What form are Olimpia and Nacional Asunción in?

Over the last 5 games Olimpia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Nacional Asunción 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpia vs Nacional Asunción?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.