Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano: match statistics
Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Olimpia played against Sportivo Ameliano in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Olimpia has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Sportivo Ameliano has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Olimpia scores 1.65 goals per game and allows 0.71. Sportivo Ameliano scores 1.22 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Olimpia's games and 56% of Sportivo Ameliano's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 33%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Olimpia has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.23 per game. Olimpia takes 15.8 shots per game, while Sportivo Ameliano takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Olimpia leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 1.18 goals per game after halftime. Sportivo Ameliano leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.78 after halftime.
When the teams score
Olimpia's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Sportivo Ameliano, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 3 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olimpia has a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.88 goals per game (28 goals this season) and concede only 0.63, with an average xG of 1.75, whereas Sportivo away averages 1.22 goals per game (22 this season), 0.89 conceded and xG 1.24. The hosts average 16.63 shots per game with 5.5 on target and an 11% conversion rate, the visitors only 12.78 shots with 3.78 on target and a 10% conversion, indicating Olimpia creates more and better scoring opportunities. Defensively Olimpia has 50% clean sheets at home and 0% home defeats, while Sportivo has 11% clean sheets away and 11% away defeats, giving the hosts greater stability at the back. At the same time Sportivo are unbeaten in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and average 1.8 points per game in that period, while Olimpia average 1.4 points per game in their last five, so the visitors can cause problems and make the result difficult. Considering the xG advantage (+0.51), higher shot volume and accuracy and better home defense, I predict an Olimpia win; I assess the chances as 65% for the hosts, 20% for a draw and 15% for Sportivo.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Key signal comes from Sportivo Ameliano: season BTTS rate is 78%, and in the last 5 matches BTTS was 100% (5/5), clearly above the league average of 50%. Olimpia has a season BTTS of 33% and only 20% in the last 5 matches, while seasonally keeping 44% clean sheets and conceding 0.78 goals per game on average, indicating a stronger historical defense. However, in the last 5 games Olimpia has been conceding 1.2 goals on average (6 goals in 5 matches), and Sportivo has been scoring 1.6 goals on average in the last 5 (8 goals), so Ameliano's recent form is offensive and forces goals. This is confirmed by xG: in the last 5 matches Olimpia had 1.58 xG per game with 1.48 xG against, and Sportivo 1.37 xG with 1.12 xG against, meaning both teams generate chances and Olimpia has recently allowed more. Considering the 78%/100% signal from Ameliano versus Olimpia's historical 33%/20% and the recent goals averages 1.2 vs 1.6, I assess BTTS as more likely and recommend selecting "Yes" (BTTS - Yes) with a probability of 70% (No Goal 30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate about 1.35 goals for Olimpia and 1.43 for Sportivo Ameliano, totaling 2.78 goals — calculated mainly from the last 5 matches and xG: attacking xG 1.58 for Olimpia and 1.37 for Ameliano, and xG against 1.12 (Ameliano) and 1.48 (Olimpia), which gives (1.58+1.12)/2=1.35 and (1.37+1.48)/2=1.43. With an expected goals sum of 2.78 the Poisson distribution yields probability for Over 1.5 ≈77%, Over 2.5 ≈53% and Over 3.5 ≈31% (Unders: 23%, 47%, 69%). Seasonal numbers provide additional support: both teams score on average 1.22 goals each (sum 2.44), and the Over 1.5 stat is 56% for Olimpia and 78% for Ameliano. Additionally Ameliano has 78% of matches with both teams scoring this season, which increases the chance of at least two goals; therefore the strongest signal from the data is to play Over at the 1.5 line (77% probability).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half analysis points to a draw: the home side were level at the break in 7 matches (78.0%) and average 0.44 goals scored by half-time with only 0.22 conceded, while the visitors average 0.44 scored and 0.44 conceded in the first 45 minutes — this indicates few decisive results before the break. Both teams have similar xG values (1.22 for Olimpia vs 1.24 for Sportivo) and comparable goals-per-game averages (2.0 vs 2.11), and each records a 44% season draw rate, which increases the probability of a draw after 90 minutes. The second half is more productive (second-half goals averages of 1.33 for the home team and 1.22 for the visitors, with 78% of matches featuring >0.5 goals in the second half for both sides), so following a draw at the break it is realistic to expect either the draw to hold or a minor turnaround. Additionally, the home side led at the break in only 2 matches (22%), the visitors in 3 (33%), and the visitors have a high season BTTS rate (78%), all of which make the Half-Time/Full-Time draw/draw (X/X) scenario most consistent with the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Olimpia | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olimpia is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
1.65 goals / game - Olimpia · 1.22 goals / game - Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.71 goals / game - Olimpia · 0.83 goals / game - Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia scores in 94% of games (16 of 17 meczów), while Sportivo Ameliano keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
Sportivo Ameliano scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Olimpia keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olimpia
Over / Under - Sportivo Ameliano
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olimpia is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / game - Olimpia · 1.39 pts / game - Sportivo Ameliano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olimpia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sportivo Ameliano - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Olimpia | Liga | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.35 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 41% | 42% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 29% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 59% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Olimpia's perspective: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses against Sportivo Ameliano. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The Division Profesional match finished Olimpia 1:1 Sportivo Ameliano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Olimpia and Sportivo Ameliano?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 2, Sportivo Ameliano won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Olimpia score 1.65 goals per game on average and Sportivo Ameliano 1.22. The Division Profesional average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Olimpia's matches and 56% of Sportivo Ameliano's.
What form are Olimpia and Sportivo Ameliano in?
Over the last 5 games Olimpia have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sportivo Ameliano 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The statistical background for Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.