Olimpia Zambrów vs Olimpia Elbląg: match statistics

Olimpia Zambrów are showing clearly better current form: they have collected 10 points from their last 5 matches, recording 3 wins, a draw and a defeat, while Olimpia Elbląg have managed just 5 points. The hosts scored 13 goals and conceded 5 during this period, compared with 8 scored and 8 conceded by the visitors, indicating greater attacking efficiency and a more stable defense for the Zambrów side. In their only home match so far, Olimpia Zambrów won 5:0, averaging 18 shots, 10 shots on target, an xG of 2.12 and just 0.61 xG conceded. The hosts also recorded 54% possession and converted 28% of their shots, so they should be more likely to control the game and create scoring opportunities. Olimpia Elbląg’s away data is still very limited, but their weaker record across the last five matches supports a home win.

The BTTS pick is primarily supported by the current attacking form of both teams: Olimpia Zambrów averaged 2.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Olimpia Elbląg averaged 1.6. The visitors recorded BTTS in 80% of their games during this period, while the hosts scored in every home match, netting 5 goals in total. Olimpia Elbląg created an average of 1.63 xG per match, while the hosts’ defense allowed opponents 1.26 xG and conceded an average of 1.0 goals across their last five appearances. In turn, the hosts generated 1.64 xG, with Elbląg allowing 1.57 xG, clearly increasing the likelihood of them finding the net. Although Zambrów’s home BTTS rate stands at just 20%, the data from the last five matches, combined with the league’s 61% BTTS rate, provides stronger support for goals from both sides.

Olimpia Zambrów averaged 2.6 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while their opponents conceded only 1.0 goal per game during this period, indicating clear offensive potential from the home side. Olimpia Elbląg averaged 1.6 goals scored but also conceded 1.6, meaning their matches likewise had an open profile. The average xG from the last five appearances stands at 1.64 for the home side and 1.63 for the visitors, while the xG conceded figures are 1.26 and 1.57 respectively, supporting the scenario of several scoring chances at both ends. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of Zambrów’s recent matches and 60% of Elbląg’s fixtures, while the league average of 3.28 goals further supports an attacking outlook. However, the safest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.40 goals gives it a clearer edge than the higher lines.

The visitors’ seasonal data do not provide a reliable sample, so greater weight should be given to their last five matches: Olimpia Zambrów averaged 2.6 goals scored in these games, while Olimpia Elbląg conceded 1.6. The hosts won 60% of those matches and lost only 20%, whereas the visitors won just 20% and suffered defeats in 40%. At half-time, Elbląg were level in 60% of their recent outings, supporting an even score after the first half, despite Zambrów leading at the break in 50% of their own matches. After the break, the hosts’ advantage should increase, as they score an average of 1.5 goals and concede only 0.5, compared with the visitors’ averages of 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. The most likely HT/FT outcome is therefore a draw at half-time followed by an Olimpia Zambrów win (X/1).