Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Olympique Marseille play Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 21:05. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Olympique Marseille: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Toulouse: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Olympique Marseille scores 1.85 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Toulouse scores 1.42 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Olympique Marseille 50%, Toulouse 48%. Over 2.5: Olympique Marseille 62%, Toulouse 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Olympique Marseille has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.41. Olympique Marseille: 15.1 shots per match, Toulouse: 12.8.

Match halves

Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.09. Toulouse: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Olympique Marseille: 76-90+ (17 goals). Toulouse: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

77Possession (%)23
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
20Shots6
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
5Shots on target4
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
2.21xG0.81
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
9Corners1
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
83Dangerous attacks21
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
7Fouls10
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
2Cards1
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Olympique MarseilleToulouse
1.85Goals scored / match1.42
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
1.32Goals conceded / match1.39
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
57%Average possession42%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
5.71Shots on target / match4.3
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.09Shots per match12.85
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
5.71Shots on target4.3
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
12.3%Shot conversion11.1%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
57%Possession42%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
1.72xG for1.41
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
1.17xG against1.36
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

Shooting quality

Olympique Marseille: DominantToulouse: Balanced
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
Accuracy (shots on target)38%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Olympique Marseille
LDLWW
Season result split
53% W15% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-5-11
1.74 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-4-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Toulouse
LLDWW
Season result split
36% W24% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-13
1.33 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 2.04BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Olympique Marseille is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.85 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.42 goals / match - Toulouse

Olympique Marseille is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.39 goals / match - Toulouse

Olympique Marseille scoring profile: very strong

Olympique Marseille scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).

Toulouse scoring profile: strong

Toulouse scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

63Goals scored (season)47
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
45Goals conceded (season)46
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
3.18Average goals in match2.82
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
5Goals scored (last 5)8
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
7Goals conceded (last 5)11
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal70%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
47%2 goals45%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
32%3 goals15%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
15%4 goals9%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal73%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
47%2 goals36%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
6%3 goals18%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
3%4 goals6%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Olympique Marseille - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 34 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time15%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
9%BTTS in both halves6%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
32%Scored in both halves24%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
40%BTTS - last 580%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
41%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Olympique Marseille is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.15 pts / match - Toulouse

Olympique Marseille - half-time state
41% leading35% draw24% trailing
Toulouse - half-time state
27% leading33% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)1.15
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.61
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.27
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
65%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
53%No goal before half-time61%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.48
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
1.09Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
2Average goals (2nd half)1.55
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
32%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
38%No goal after half-time45%
Olympique MarseilleToulouse

Olympique Marseille - second-half results

41% W26% R32% P
54
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Toulouse - second-half results

36% W39% R24% P
38
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Olympique Marseille - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Toulouse - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Olympique Marseille
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
10
6
16-30
7
3
31-45
10
10
46-60
10
6
61-75
17
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Toulouse
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
4
9
16-30
7
8
31-45
5
8
46-60
6
6
61-75
16
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.99
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Olympique Marseille

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Toulouse

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

Olympique MarseilleLigaToulouse
Average goals in match 3.182.83 2.82
Both teams scored 50%51% 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%53% 55%
Clean sheets 26%28% 27%
Goal before half-time 71%70% 73%
Goal after half-time 85%79% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Olympique Marseille 1 - 0 - 0 Toulouse. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse?

The Ligue 1 match finished Olympique Marseille 2:2 Toulouse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse?

Olympique Marseille score 1.85 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.42. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Olympique Marseille's matches and 48% of Toulouse's.

What form are Olympique Marseille and Toulouse in?

Over the last 5 games Olympique Marseille have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Toulouse 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.