Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos: match statistics
Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Omonia Nicosia played against Paphos in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Omonia Nicosia has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Paphos has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Omonia Nicosia scores 2.41 goals per game and allows 0.70. Paphos scores 2.00 and allows 0.93. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 37% of Omonia Nicosia's games and 44% of Paphos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 56%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Omonia Nicosia has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.52 per game. Omonia Nicosia takes 13.9 shots per game, while Paphos takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Omonia Nicosia leads at halftime in 59% of its games and scores 1.26 goals per game after halftime. Paphos leads at halftime in 52% and scores 1.11 after halftime.
When the teams score
Omonia Nicosia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Paphos, it is minutes 76-90+ (21 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Omonia is the favorite — they lead the table with 19 wins and a 65–19 goal record this season. At home the hosts average 2.46 goals scored and concede only 0.38 per game, with a 77% win rate and 69% clean sheets, indicating an exceptionally tight defense. Paphos have strong recent form over the last 5 matches (14 goals and an average of 1.8 points per game), but away they average 1.77 goals scored and concede 1.15, maintaining only a 38% clean sheet rate. The quality of chances favors Omonia: 6.23 shots on target and xG 1.87 at home versus 4.92 shots on target and xG 1.47 for Paphos on the road. Considering Omonia’s unbeaten home record, better conversion rate (17% vs 16%) and superiority in defense and chance creation, I give the hosts the higher probability, although a draw or an away win for the visitors cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor No BTTS: I assess the probability that both teams will not score at 65% vs 35% for BTTS. Omonia concedes only 0.71 goals per home match and has 57% clean sheets, while their season BTTS rate is only 36%, strongly favoring a clean sheet expected. Paphos away has 54% BTTS and scores 1.77 goals on average away; their xG of 1.47 versus Omonia’s xG against 1.24 shows the visitors create chances but will face a strong defense. Both teams have similar creation metrics (1.57 vs 1.47 xG and 4.71 vs 4.92 shots on target), yet Omonia converts better (18% vs 16%) and has 28% of matches over2.5 without BTTS, which further supports the No Goal scenario. Although Paphos averages 2.8 goals and concedes 0.6 in the last 5 matches, the season-long clean sheet rates for Omonia and the lower home BTTS for the hosts give a stronger signal for both teams not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.54 goals for Omonia and 1.30 for Paphos (total 2.84), calculated as an average of two methods: xG (Omonia (1.57+1.23)/2 = 1.40; Paphos (1.47+1.24)/2 = 1.36) and season goals conceded comparison (Omonia (2.21+1.15)/2 = 1.68; Paphos (1.77+0.71)/2 = 1.24). Season-long data strongly support Over 1.5: Omonia has Over1.5 in 79% of matches, Paphos in 85% (avg 82%), and over 0.5 occurs in 93%/100% of games, so scoreless matches are rare. The 2.5 line holds only a moderate edge — season Over2.5 is 57% for Omonia and 54% for Paphos, and the last 5 matches show Over2.5 around 60%, so Over2.5 is possible but less certain. Over 3.5 looks unlikely (season 29%/31% ≈ 30%) and with Omonia’s 57% clean sheets it’s prudent to stick to lower lines; therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Omonia holds advantages in key metrics: on average 2.21 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per match versus Paphos’s 1.77 scored and 1.15 conceded, and xG of 1.57 vs 1.47 confirms a slight home edge. In first halves the hosts led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and in those fixtures they averaged 1.8 goals by half-time compared to 1.2 for the visitors, which strongly supports Omonia leading after 45 minutes. Additionally, Omonia have kept a clean sheet at half-time in 71% of matches and average 12.36 shots per game with an 18% conversion rate (versus 11.0 shots and 16% for Paphos), increasing the likelihood of maintaining the lead and turning it into a full-time victory. The visitors, however, have seen both teams score in 54% of their matches, so a Paphos goal and draw scenarios are plausible; nonetheless the strongest signal is a Half-Time/Full-Time outcome of home lead at the break and home win (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Omonia Nicosia | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paphos is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Omonia Nicosia · 1.8 pts / game - Paphos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Omonia Nicosia is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
2.41 goals / game - Omonia Nicosia · 2 goals / game - Paphos
Omonia Nicosia is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.7 goals / game - Omonia Nicosia · 0.93 goals / game - Paphos
Omonia Nicosia scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 meczów), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 48% (13 of 27 meczów).
Paphos scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 meczów), while Omonia Nicosia keeps a clean sheet in 56% (15 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Omonia Nicosia
Over / Under - Paphos
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Omonia Nicosia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 59% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Omonia Nicosia
Paphos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Omonia Nicosia | Liga | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.11 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 41% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 32% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Omonia Nicosia's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Paphos. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos?
The First Division match finished Omonia Nicosia 2:0 Paphos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Omonia Nicosia and Paphos?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Omonia Nicosia won 2, Paphos won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos?
Omonia Nicosia score 2.41 goals per game on average and Paphos 2.00. The First Division average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Omonia Nicosia's matches and 44% of Paphos's.
What form are Omonia Nicosia and Paphos in?
Over the last 5 games Omonia Nicosia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Paphos 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.