Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF: match statistics
Once Caldas shows a clear advantage in home matches, where they achieve 33% wins and 67% draws, without losing any game. The hosts demonstrate better offensive efficiency at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.33 goals with a higher xG rate (1.99 vs 1.31 of the visitors). Fortaleza CEIF has not won any away match this season, achieving only 67% draws and 33% losses, with a negative goal difference (-3). Additionally, the visitors struggle to score goals away (averaging 0.67 goals, 33% of matches without a goal), while the hosts maintain solid home form. Considering Once Caldas' advantage in ball possession (58% vs 56%), better shot conversion (7% vs 5%), and a significantly higher average of shots on target per match (7 vs 2.33), the hosts have a realistic chance of winning, although a draw is also likely due to both teams' high tendency to share points.
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Once Caldas played against Fortaleza CEIF in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Once Caldas has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Fortaleza CEIF has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Once Caldas scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.14. Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.00 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Once Caldas's games and 71% of Fortaleza CEIF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 29%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Once Caldas has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.50 per game. Once Caldas takes 13.7 shots per game, while Fortaleza CEIF takes 14.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Once Caldas leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Fortaleza CEIF leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Once Caldas's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Fortaleza CEIF, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Once Caldas shows a clear advantage in home matches, where they achieve 33% wins and 67% draws, without losing any game. The hosts demonstrate better offensive efficiency at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.33 goals with a higher xG rate (1.99 vs 1.31 of the visitors). Fortaleza CEIF has not won any away match this season, achieving only 67% draws and 33% losses, with a negative goal difference (-3). Additionally, the visitors struggle to score goals away (averaging 0.67 goals, 33% of matches without a goal), while the hosts maintain solid home form. Considering Once Caldas' advantage in ball possession (58% vs 56%), better shot conversion (7% vs 5%), and a significantly higher average of shots on target per match (7 vs 2.33), the hosts have a realistic chance of winning, although a draw is also likely due to both teams' high tendency to share points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Once Caldas | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Once Caldas · 1 goals / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Once Caldas scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 meczów), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Once Caldas
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Once Caldas · 0.57 pts / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Once Caldas
Fortaleza CEIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Once Caldas | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.43 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 49% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Once Caldas's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Fortaleza CEIF. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Once Caldas 4:2 Fortaleza CEIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Fortaleza CEIF?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 1, Fortaleza CEIF won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Once Caldas score 1.29 goals per game on average and Fortaleza CEIF 1.00. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Once Caldas's matches and 71% of Fortaleza CEIF's.
What form are Once Caldas and Fortaleza CEIF in?
Over the last 5 games Once Caldas have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Fortaleza CEIF 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The statistical background for Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.