Once Caldas vs La Equidad: match statistics
Once Caldas vs La Equidad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Once Caldas play La Equidad in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 21 April 2026 at 01:20. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Once Caldas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. La Equidad: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Once Caldas scores 1.57 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. La Equidad scores 1.33 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Once Caldas 76%, La Equidad 67%. Over 2.5: Once Caldas 48%, La Equidad 67%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Once Caldas has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.38. Once Caldas: 14.3 shots per match, La Equidad: 13.2.
Match halves
Once Caldas: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. La Equidad: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Once Caldas: 76-90+ (9 goals). La Equidad: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back a home win: Once Caldas averages 17 shots and 6 on target at home, scoring 2.13 goals per match, while La Equidad away manage only 11.13 shots, 3.88 on target and 1.00 goal on average. The difference in quality of created chances is supported by xG — hosts average 1.79 xG at home versus 1.21 xG for the visitors away, and a conversion rate of 13% vs 9% suggests superior finishing by Once Caldas. The hosts control the game more (59% possession vs 40%), and their home matches are more open (avg 3.63 goals per game), while both teams concede about 1.5 goals on average, which shifts the edge to the side creating more chances. A drawback for the hosts is no wins in their last five overall (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, 0.8 points per match), whereas La Equidad have 1 win and 1.0 point per match in that period, slightly limiting the favourite’s edge. Considering better chance creation, efficiency and control of the pitch, I give Once Caldas approximately a 60% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 15% for an away win for La Equidad.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Once Caldas | La Equidad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Once Caldas is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Once Caldas · 0.6 pts / match - La Equidad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Once Caldas · 1.33 goals / match - La Equidad
Once Caldas is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Once Caldas · 1.67 goals / match - La Equidad
Once Caldas scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while La Equidad keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
La Equidad scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Once Caldas
Over / Under — La Equidad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Once Caldas · 1 pts / match - La Equidad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
La Equidad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Once Caldas
La Equidad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Once Caldas | Liga | La Equidad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.53 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Once Caldas 2 - 0 - 0 La Equidad. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Once Caldas vs La Equidad?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Once Caldas 2:1 La Equidad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and La Equidad?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 2, La Equidad won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Once Caldas vs La Equidad?
Once Caldas score 1.57 goals per game on average and La Equidad 1.33. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Once Caldas's matches and 67% of La Equidad's.
What form are Once Caldas and La Equidad in?
Over the last 5 games Once Caldas have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and La Equidad 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Once Caldas vs La Equidad?
The statistical background for Once Caldas vs La Equidad — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


