United States - USL League OneData current as of 07 August 2026

One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics

Reasoning:

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One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

One Knoxville play Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match date is 8 August 2026.

Current form

One Knoxville: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

One Knoxville scores 1.72 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: One Knoxville 61%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. Over 2.5: One Knoxville 72%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

One Knoxville has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.43. One Knoxville: 13.8 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.2.

Match halves

One Knoxville: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.94. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

One Knoxville: 76-90+ (8 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL League One: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
1.72Goals scored / match0.94
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
1.11Goals conceded / match1.56
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
53%Average possession49%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
5.22Shots on target / match4.06
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.78Shots per match12.22
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
5.22Shots on target4.06
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
12.5%Shot conversion7.7%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
53%Possession49%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
1.65xG for1.43
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
1.4xG against1.32
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise

Shooting quality

One Knoxville: BalancedSarasota Paradise: Balanced
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
Accuracy (shots on target)38%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

One Knoxville is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - One Knoxville · 1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise

One Knoxville
WWLLL
Season result split
56% W17% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-3-5
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Sarasota Paradise
LWLDD
Season result split
28% W17% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-10
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-6
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

One Knoxville is 83% better for: goals scored per match.

1.72 goals / match - One Knoxville · 0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise

One Knoxville is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.11 goals / match - One Knoxville · 1.56 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise

One Knoxville scoring profile: very strong

One Knoxville scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

Sarasota Paradise scoring profile: strong

Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while One Knoxville keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).

31Goals scored (season)17
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
20Goals conceded (season)28
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
2.83Average goals in match2.5
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
7Goals scored (last 5)4
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
61%2 goals28%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
22%3 goals0%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
6%4 goals0%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal72%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
33%2 goals50%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
11%3 goals22%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
0%4 goals11%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Sarasota Paradise - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 18 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time17%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
6%BTTS in both halves0%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
33%Scored in both halves11%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise

BTTS and goal count

61%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
80%BTTS - last 540%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time44%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

One Knoxville is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - One Knoxville · 0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise

One Knoxville - half-time state
22% leading67% draw11% trailing
Sarasota Paradise - half-time state
11% leading61% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)0.94
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.28
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
1.17Average goals (1st half)0.83
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
61%Clean sheet before half-time67%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
50%No goal before half-time72%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise

After half-time (2nd half)

1.78Points per match (2nd half)1
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.67
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
56%Clean sheet after half-time33%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
39%No goal after half-time50%
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise

One Knoxville - second-half results

50% W28% R22% P
24
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding255%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sarasota Paradise - second-half results

22% W33% R44% P
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding255%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

One Knoxville - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Sarasota Paradise - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

One Knoxville
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
5
16-30
5
3
31-45
7
1
46-60
2
6
61-75
8
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Sarasota Paradise
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
5
5
46-60
5
6
61-75
2
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

One Knoxville

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Sarasota Paradise

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

One KnoxvilleLigaSarasota Paradise
Average goals in match 2.832.88 2.50
Both teams scored 61%55% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 72%60% 50%
Clean sheets 33%26% 28%
Goal before half-time 56%70% 44%
Goal after half-time 78%78% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+63%
Home attack advantage
+39%
Home defence advantage
+34%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: One Knoxville 1 - 0 - 0 Sarasota Paradise. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do One Knoxville and Sarasota Paradise play?

One Knoxville face Sarasota Paradise on 8 August 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?

One Knoxville score 1.72 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 0.94. The USL League One average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 61% of One Knoxville's matches and 50% of Sarasota Paradise's.

What form are One Knoxville and Sarasota Paradise in?

Over the last 5 games One Knoxville have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?

The statistical background for One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.