Orange County SC vs Lexington: match statistics
Orange County SC vs Lexington: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Orange County SC play Lexington in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 04:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Orange County SC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Lexington: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Orange County SC scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Lexington scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Orange County SC 63%, Lexington 64%. Over 2.5: Orange County SC 38%, Lexington 64%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lexington has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.20. Orange County SC: 10.5 shots per match, Lexington: 12.2.
Match halves
Orange County SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Lexington: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Orange County SC: 46-60 (6 goals). Lexington: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): Orange County SC sit 1st with a season record of 4-2-1, while Lexington are 21st with 1-2-3. Hosts have scored 7 goals this season (1.0 home goals per game) and 5 in their last 5 matches; they have 50% clean sheets and only 25% of matches without scoring, whereas Lexington have 6 goals this season (0.5 away), 5 in the last 5 and as many as 50% of matches without a goal. Orange County’s defense is the differentiator — they concede 0.5 goals per home game on average with xG against 1.16, while Lexington concedes 1.5 goals on the road with xG against 1.42 and have conceded 8 goals in their last 5. In attack the hosts average 9.25 shots (2.5 on target) at home with an 11% conversion rate; Lexington average 10 shots (3 on target) away but only 5% conversion and effectively 0.5 goals per game with xG 1.21. Considering the defensive advantage (0.5 vs 1.5 conceded), better points average in the last 5 (1.8 vs 0.8) and significantly higher shot efficiency (11% vs 5%), I assess the probabilities as 65% for an Orange County win, 20% draw and 15% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Orange County SC | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orange County SC is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Orange County SC · 1.43 goals / match - Lexington
Orange County SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Lexington scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Orange County SC
Over / Under — Lexington
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orange County SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lexington - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Orange County SC
Lexington
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Orange County SC | Liga | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.69 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Orange County SC 0 - 2 - 0 Lexington. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Orange County SC vs Lexington?
The USL Championship match finished Orange County SC 0:0 Lexington. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Orange County SC and Lexington?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 0, Lexington won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Orange County SC vs Lexington?
Orange County SC score 1.56 goals per game on average and Lexington 1.57. The USL Championship average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Orange County SC's matches and 64% of Lexington's.
What form are Orange County SC and Lexington in?
Over the last 5 games Orange County SC have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Lexington 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orange County SC vs Lexington?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.