Orange County SC vs Louisville City: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Orange County SC vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Orange County SC plays Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The game is scheduled for August 16, 2026.
Recent form
Orange County SC has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Louisville City has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Orange County SC scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 1.13. Louisville City scores 1.63 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Orange County SC's games and 56% of Louisville City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 50%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Louisville City has the higher season xG average, 1.95 to 1.20 per game. Orange County SC takes 10.5 shots per game, while Louisville City takes 16.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Orange County SC leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Louisville City leads at halftime in 6% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Orange County SC's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Louisville City, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Orange County SC | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Orange County SC is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Orange County SC · 1.6 pts / game - Louisville City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orange County SC is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Orange County SC · 1.56 goals / game - Louisville City
Orange County SC scores in 88% of games (14 of 16 meczów), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).
Louisville City scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Orange County SC
Over / Under - Louisville City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Orange County SC is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Orange County SC · 0.88 pts / game - Louisville City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orange County SC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Orange County SC
Louisville City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Orange County SC | Liga | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.69 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Orange County SC's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Louisville City. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
When do Orange County SC and Louisville City play?
Orange County SC face Louisville City on August 16, 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Orange County SC and Louisville City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 0, Louisville City won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Orange County SC vs Louisville City?
Orange County SC score 1.56 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.63. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Orange County SC's matches and 56% of Louisville City's.
What form are Orange County SC and Louisville City in?
Over the last 5 games Orange County SC have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Louisville City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orange County SC vs Louisville City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.