United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 06 August 2026

Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Orange County SC play Tampa Bay Rowdies in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 9 August 2026.

Current form

Orange County SC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Tampa Bay Rowdies: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Orange County SC scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 1.56 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Orange County SC 63%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%. Over 2.5: Orange County SC 38%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Tampa Bay Rowdies has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.20. Orange County SC: 10.5 shots per match, Tampa Bay Rowdies: 16.0.

Match halves

Orange County SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Tampa Bay Rowdies: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Orange County SC: 46-60 (6 goals). Tampa Bay Rowdies: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.79)
(3.50)
(1.82)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
1.56Goals scored / match1.56
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
1.13Goals conceded / match0.81
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
45%Average possession54%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
3.5Shots on target / match4.63
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.5Shots per match16
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
3.5Shots on target4.63
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
14.9%Shot conversion9.8%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
45%Possession54%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
1.2xG for1.77
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
1.62xG against1.14
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies

Shooting quality

Orange County SC: Counter-attackingTampa Bay Rowdies: Attacking
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
Accuracy (shots on target)33%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.450.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Orange County SC is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Orange County SC · 1 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies

Orange County SC
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W44% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-2
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
DLWLD
Season result split
56% W31% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-2
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tampa Bay Rowdies is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - Orange County SC · 0.81 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies

Orange County SC scoring profile: strong

Orange County SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).

Tampa Bay Rowdies scoring profile: very strong

Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

25Goals scored (season)25
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
18Goals conceded (season)13
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
2.69Average goals in match2.38
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
11Goals scored (last 5)6
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal94%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
44%2 goals44%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
19%3 goals19%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
6%4 goals0%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal50%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
38%2 goals19%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
6%3 goals6%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
0%4 goals6%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
Orange County SC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 16 matches
44%
Tampa Bay Rowdies - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 16 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time6%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
25%BTTS in both halves0%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
31%Scored in both halves19%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
100%BTTS - last 560%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tampa Bay Rowdies is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Orange County SC · 2 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies

Orange County SC - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing
Tampa Bay Rowdies - half-time state
56% leading31% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)2
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.81
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.13
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
56%Clean sheet before half-time81%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
44%No goal before half-time44%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies

After half-time (2nd half)

1.69Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
50%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
38%No goal after half-time44%
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies

Orange County SC - second-half results

44% W38% R19% P
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results

38% W38% R25% P
32
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Orange County SC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Tampa Bay Rowdies - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Orange County SC
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
0
16-30
3
5
31-45
6
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Tampa Bay Rowdies
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
0
0
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.53
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Orange County SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Orange County SCLigaTampa Bay Rowdies
Average goals in match 2.692.79 2.38
Both teams scored 63%58% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%52% 38%
Clean sheets 31%26% 50%
Goal before half-time 69%67% 69%
Goal after half-time 75%80% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Orange County SC 0 - 0 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Tampa Bay Rowdies
2 : 0
Orange County SC

FAQ

When do Orange County SC and Tampa Bay Rowdies play?

Orange County SC face Tampa Bay Rowdies on 9 August 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Orange County SC score 1.56 goals per game on average and Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.56. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Orange County SC's matches and 44% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's.

What form are Orange County SC and Tampa Bay Rowdies in?

Over the last 5 games Orange County SC have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

The statistical background for Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.