Ordabasy vs Atyrau: match statistics
Ordabasy vs Atyrau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ordabasy play Atyrau in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ordabasy: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Atyrau: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ordabasy scores 1.76 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Atyrau scores 0.75 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ordabasy 53%, Atyrau 50%. Over 2.5: Ordabasy 47%, Atyrau 19%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Ordabasy has higher xG: 1.93 vs 0.85. Ordabasy: 17.0 shots per match, Atyrau: 6.6.
Match halves
Ordabasy: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.12. Atyrau: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Ordabasy: 76-90+ (11 goals). Atyrau: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Ordabasy has a clear advantage in quality of chances — on average 23.5 shots and 10.5 on target at home versus 11 shots and 5 on target for Atyrau away, with average xG of 2.68 for the hosts and 1.29 for the visitors. In form over the last 5 matches the hosts have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 15 goals (3 per match on average) and accruing 2.2 points per game, whereas Atyrau have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss with only 4 goals and 0.8 points per match. Defensively both teams concede around 1 goal per game, but Ordabasy have 50% clean sheets at home while Atyrau have none away. Given the superiority in possession (55% vs 29%), higher number of shots on target and significantly higher xG, I assign a 65% probability to an Ordabasy win, 25% to a draw and 10% to an Atyrau win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ordabasy | Atyrau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ordabasy is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Ordabasy · 1 pts / match - Atyrau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ordabasy is 135% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - Ordabasy · 0.75 goals / match - Atyrau
Ordabasy is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Ordabasy · 0.81 goals / match - Atyrau
Ordabasy scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Atyrau keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
Atyrau scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Ordabasy keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ordabasy
Over / Under — Atyrau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ordabasy is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Ordabasy · 1.13 pts / match - Atyrau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ordabasy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atyrau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ordabasy
Atyrau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ordabasy | Liga | Atyrau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.47 | 2.26 | ▼ 1.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 31% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ordabasy 1 - 1 - 0 Atyrau. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ordabasy vs Atyrau?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Ordabasy 1:1 Atyrau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ordabasy and Atyrau?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ordabasy won 1, Atyrau won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ordabasy vs Atyrau?
Ordabasy score 1.76 goals per game on average and Atyrau 0.75. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Ordabasy's matches and 50% of Atyrau's.
What form are Ordabasy and Atyrau in?
Over the last 5 games Ordabasy have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Atyrau 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ordabasy vs Atyrau?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ordabasy vs Atyrau: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.