Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueStadion Qajimuqan MuñaytpasovData current as of 23 July 2026

Ordabasy vs Kairat: match statistics

Ordabasy crest
Ordabasy
2 : 1half-time 1:1
Kairat crest
Kairat

Ordabasy vs Kairat: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ordabasy play Kairat in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 28 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Ordabasy: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Kairat: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ordabasy scores 1.83 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Kairat scores 1.95 and concedes 0.68. League average: 2.31 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ordabasy 56%, Kairat 53%. Over 2.5: Ordabasy 50%, Kairat 53%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Ordabasy has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.82. Ordabasy: 16.7 shots per match, Kairat: 16.3.

Match halves

Ordabasy: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.11. Kairat: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.95.

Goals by minute

Ordabasy: 76-90+ (11 goals). Kairat: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Ordabasy holds a clear offensive edge at home: 19 goals this season (1.83 goals per home match) and 8 goals in the last 5 matches, with an average xG of 2.14 and 6.5 shots on target per game. Kairat on the road scores only 1.14 goals per match (17 goals this season, 6 in the last 5) with xG 1.65 and 5.14 shots on target, and in 14% of away fixtures they failed to score. Defensively the visitors are very solid — Kairat concedes only 0.57 goals away and has 43% clean sheets on the road, compared to Ordabasy’s 0.83 goals conceded at home and 33% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches Ordabasy recorded 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 points per game), while Kairat has 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 points per game), indicating better form for the home side. Considering the hosts’ superior finishing and xG (2.14 vs 1.65) and the fact both teams have 0 losses this season, I predict an Ordabasy win, although the result may be limited by Kairat’s strong defense.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
OrdabasyKairat
11Shots6
OrdabasyKairat
8Shots on target3
OrdabasyKairat
1.52xG0.92
OrdabasyKairat
2Corners1
OrdabasyKairat
37Dangerous attacks45
OrdabasyKairat
11Fouls9
OrdabasyKairat
4Cards1
OrdabasyKairat

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.83Goals scored / match1.95
OrdabasyKairat
0.72Goals conceded / match0.68
OrdabasyKairat
55%Average possession58%
OrdabasyKairat
6.22Shots on target / match6.32
OrdabasyKairat

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.67Shots per match16.32
OrdabasyKairat
6.22Shots on target6.32
OrdabasyKairat
11%Shot conversion11.9%
OrdabasyKairat
55%Possession58%
OrdabasyKairat
1.88xG for1.82
OrdabasyKairat
1.01xG against1.03
OrdabasyKairat

Shooting quality

Ordabasy: DominantKairat: Dominant
OrdabasyKairat
Accuracy (shots on target)37%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kairat is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Ordabasy · 3 pts / match - Kairat

Ordabasy
WWWLW
Season result split
72% W22% R6% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-4-1
2.39 pts / match · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Kairat
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
63% W32% R5% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-1
2.21 pts / match · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-3-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.19Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kairat is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - Ordabasy · 1.95 goals / match - Kairat

Kairat is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.72 goals / match - Ordabasy · 0.68 goals / match - Kairat

Ordabasy scoring profile: very strong

Ordabasy scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 matches).

Kairat scoring profile: very strong

Kairat scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Ordabasy keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).

33Goals scored (season)37
OrdabasyKairat
13Goals conceded (season)13
OrdabasyKairat
2.56Average goals in match2.63
OrdabasyKairat
9Goals scored (last 5)18
OrdabasyKairat
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
OrdabasyKairat

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal89%
OrdabasyKairat
72%2 goals53%
OrdabasyKairat
17%3 goals32%
OrdabasyKairat
0%4 goals16%
OrdabasyKairat

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal53%
OrdabasyKairat
11%2 goals16%
OrdabasyKairat
6%3 goals0%
OrdabasyKairat
0%4 goals0%
OrdabasyKairat

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time21%
OrdabasyKairat
11%BTTS in both halves0%
OrdabasyKairat
39%Scored in both halves21%
OrdabasyKairat

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
OrdabasyKairat
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
OrdabasyKairat
40%BTTS - last 560%
OrdabasyKairat

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
OrdabasyKairat
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
OrdabasyKairat
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
OrdabasyKairat

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
OrdabasyKairat
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
OrdabasyKairat
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
OrdabasyKairat

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ordabasy - half-time state
39% leading50% draw11% trailing
Kairat - half-time state
37% leading58% draw5% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)1.68
OrdabasyKairat
0.72Goals scored (1st half)1
OrdabasyKairat
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
OrdabasyKairat
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.32
OrdabasyKairat
67%Clean sheet before half-time74%
OrdabasyKairat
44%No goal before half-time42%
OrdabasyKairat

After half-time (2nd half)

2.06Points per match (2nd half)1.74
OrdabasyKairat
1.11Goals scored (2nd half)0.95
OrdabasyKairat
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.37
OrdabasyKairat
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.32
OrdabasyKairat
67%Clean sheet after half-time63%
OrdabasyKairat
22%No goal after half-time47%
OrdabasyKairat

Ordabasy - second-half results

56% W39% R6% P
30
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding185%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kairat - second-half results

47% W32% R21% P
32
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.68
PPG before half-time
Lead holding170%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ordabasy - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Kairat - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.40
Goals scored / match1.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match2.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+6+8
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ordabasy
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
3
2
16-30
7
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
7
1
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Kairat
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
1
31-45
4
0
46-60
4
4
61-75
10
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.59
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
84%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ordabasy

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.87
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Kairat

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.79
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
203%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.79
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

OrdabasyLigaKairat
Average goals in match 2.562.31 2.63
Both teams scored 56%52% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%42% 53%
Clean sheets 44%29% 47%
Goal before half-time 67%62% 63%
Goal after half-time 78%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.31
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Ordabasy 0 - 0 - 2 Kairat. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FK Ordabasy Shymkent
0 : 1
FK Kairat Almaty
FK Kairat Almaty
4 : 0
FK Ordabasy Shymkent

FAQ

What was the result of Ordabasy vs Kairat?

The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Ordabasy 2:1 Kairat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ordabasy and Kairat?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ordabasy won 0, Kairat won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ordabasy vs Kairat?

Ordabasy score 1.83 goals per game on average and Kairat 1.95. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Ordabasy's matches and 53% of Kairat's.

What form are Ordabasy and Kairat in?

Over the last 5 games Ordabasy have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Kairat 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ordabasy vs Kairat?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ordabasy vs Kairat: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.