Orlando City II vs Carolina Core: match statistics
Orlando City II vs Carolina Core: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Orlando City II play Carolina Core in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 8 June 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Inter&Co Stadium. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Orlando City II: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Carolina Core: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Orlando City II scores 2.16 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Carolina Core scores 1.30 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Orlando City II 89%, Carolina Core 65%. Over 2.5: Orlando City II 79%, Carolina Core 60%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Orlando City II has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.46. Orlando City II: 14.8 shots per match, Carolina Core: 12.2.
Match halves
Orlando City II: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 1.42. Carolina Core: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Orlando City II: 61-75 (11 goals). Carolina Core: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-2-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 80%.
Match description
Orlando City II are the clear favorites: at home they average 2.86 goals per game, register 8.57 shots on target (17.71 total shots) and have a 16% conversion rate, whereas Carolina Core away average just 0.67 goals, 3.67 shots on target and roughly a 7% conversion. In the last 5 matches Orlando scored 13 goals (2.6 per game) and averaged 2 points per match, while Carolina have 4 goals in five games (0.8 per game) and only 0.8 points per match. The visitors have yet to win on the road (0% wins), have 50% of away games without scoring and lose 67% of their away matches, which contrasts with the hosts’ home record (43% wins, 0% goalless games). Orlando also have a higher home xG (2.08) than the visitors’ away xG (1.23), indicating better quality of chances created despite both teams conceding a lot (2.14 for the hosts vs 2.00 for the visitors away). Given the edge in efficiency, shot volume and form over the last 5 matches, I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Orlando City II | Carolina Core | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carolina Core is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Orlando City II · 1.6 pts / match - Carolina Core
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orlando City II is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
2.16 goals / match - Orlando City II · 1.3 goals / match - Carolina Core
Carolina Core is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Orlando City II · 1.6 goals / match - Carolina Core
Orlando City II scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Carolina Core keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Carolina Core scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Orlando City II keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Orlando City II
Over / Under — Carolina Core
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orlando City II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Carolina Core - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Orlando City II
Carolina Core
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Orlando City II | Liga | Carolina Core | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.84 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 89% | 61% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 75% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Orlando City II 2 - 2 - 1 Carolina Core. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Orlando City II vs Carolina Core?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Orlando City II 3:2 Carolina Core. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Orlando City II and Carolina Core?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Orlando City II won 2, Carolina Core won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Orlando City II vs Carolina Core?
Orlando City II score 2.16 goals per game on average and Carolina Core 1.30. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 89% of Orlando City II's matches and 65% of Carolina Core's.
What form are Orlando City II and Carolina Core in?
Over the last 5 games Orlando City II have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Carolina Core 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orlando City II vs Carolina Core?
The statistical background for Orlando City II vs Carolina Core — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.