Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II: match statistics
Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Orlando City II played against Philadelphia Union II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on June 21, 2026. Venue: Inter&Co Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Orlando City II has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Philadelphia Union II has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Orlando City II scores 2.43 goals per game and allows 1.79. Philadelphia Union II scores 1.07 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 86% of Orlando City II's games and 57% of Philadelphia Union II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 86% and 43%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Orlando City II has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.28 per game. Orlando City II takes 15.5 shots per game, while Philadelphia Union II takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Orlando City II leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 1.57 goals per game after halftime. Philadelphia Union II leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Orlando City II's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Philadelphia Union II, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a win for Orlando City II (1): their home attack is significantly more effective — on average 2.88 goals scored and 8.5 shots on target per match with 16% conversion, versus only 0.8 goals and 2.8 shots on target and 10% conversion for Philadelphia Union II away. Orlando also generates more high-quality chances (average xG 2.10 vs 1.08 for the visitors), and in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 14 goals while Philly scored only 4. Defensively Orlando concedes more at home (on average 2.13 goals), whereas Philadelphia concedes 1.2 on average away — despite this the visitors have 40% of away matches without scoring, while the hosts have never failed to score at home (0% FTS). Form trends also favor Orlando: 4 wins in the last 5 matches and an average of 2.4 points per match, versus 1 win and 0.8 points per match for Philadelphia. Considering the superiority in number and quality of chances (shots, xG, goals) and greater points stability from the hosts, I assess their chances as clearly higher, although a draw or a solitary goal from the visitors is not excluded.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have seasonal BTTS rates of 56% (Orlando City II) and 60% (Philadelphia Union II), while the league average is 62%, immediately indicating this league often produces Goal/Goal outcomes. In the last 5 matches Orlando City II posts an 80% BTTS rate and scored 14 goals (2.8 per game), whereas Philadelphia Union II has a 60% BTTS rate and scored 4 goals (0.8 per game), so the hosts' recent form significantly increases the likelihood of them finding the net, and the visitors—despite a weaker goals tally—still appear in matches with BTTS. Offensive metrics favor Orlando: the home side averages 11.11 shots vs 8.4 for the visitors, 4.44 shots on target vs 2.8, and xG for the hosts is 1.38 vs 1.08 for the visitors; at the same time both teams show average susceptibility to conceding (xG against 1.49 for the hosts and 1.35 for the visitors), which raises the probability of an exchange of goals. Additionally Philadelphia Union II has recorded zero clean sheets this season (0%), and Orlando has only 22% clean sheets, suggesting at least one goal for the opposition is highly likely; the league BTTS rate of 62% corroborates this trend. Considering the seasonal BTTS 56% and 60%, the last 5 matches at 80% and 60%, the hosts' edge in shots and xG, and the visitors' lack of clean sheets, I assign a 70% probability to BTTS - Yes and 30% to BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The prediction is based on xG and form: xG for Orlando City II is 1.38 per match, for Philadelphia Union II 1.08, and conceded xG are 1.49 (Orlando) and 1.35 (Union II) respectively. The average of these values yields an expected 1.37 goals for the home side and 1.29 for the away side, totaling approximately 2.66 goals. Additionally, Orlando have scored an average of 2.8 goals in their last 5 matches (14 goals in 5), while Union II have 0.8 goals (4 in 5), which supports a higher goal share in this fixture. With a combined expected total of ~2.66 the Poisson model gives probabilities of over 1.5 around 74%, over 2.5 around 50% and over 3.5 around 28%, and the likelihood that each team scores is 56% (home) and 60% (away). Based on this, the strongest and most probable betting signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the home side led in 4 of the 9 matches to date (44%) and average 0.78 goals by the break versus 0.2 for Philadelphia Union II, favoring Orlando to have the lead at the break. Additionally Orlando records higher xG (1.38 vs 1.08), more total shots (11.11 vs 8.4) and more shots on target (4.44 vs 2.8), and a season goals-per-game average of 1.22 versus 0.8 underscores the hosts’ offensive advantage. In the last 5 matches the hosts won 4 of 5 (80%) while the visitors have only a 20% win rate in that period, therefore the scenario of leading at half-time and holding the win (1/1) received the highest weight (34%). The risk of surrendering the lead is nevertheless real — Orlando conceded 4 goals in minutes 76–90, while Philadelphia scored 3 goals in minutes 61–75 — which justifies a reserve allocation to 1/X (8%) and X/X (15%) as alternatives. In summary, the strongest signal is 1/1 (home leading at half-time and winning), but the possibility of a late equalizer should be taken into account.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Orlando City II | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Orlando City II is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Orlando City II · 0.8 pts / game - Philadelphia Union II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orlando City II is 127% better for: goals scored per game.
2.43 goals / game - Orlando City II · 1.07 goals / game - Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.79 goals / game - Orlando City II · 1.07 goals / game - Philadelphia Union II
Orlando City II scores in 93% of games (13 of 14 meczów), while Philadelphia Union II keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 meczów).
Philadelphia Union II scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 meczów), while Orlando City II keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Orlando City II
Over / Under - Philadelphia Union II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Philadelphia Union II is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / game - Orlando City II · 1.29 pts / game - Philadelphia Union II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orlando City II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Philadelphia Union II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Orlando City II
Philadelphia Union II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Orlando City II | Liga | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.21 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 65% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 93% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Orlando City II's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Philadelphia Union II. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Orlando City II 1:2 Philadelphia Union II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II?
Orlando City II score 2.43 goals per game on average and Philadelphia Union II 1.07. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Orlando City II's matches and 57% of Philadelphia Union II's.
What form are Orlando City II and Philadelphia Union II in?
Over the last 5 games Orlando City II have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Philadelphia Union II 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.