Orlando City vs Inter Miami: match statistics
Orlando City has the home advantage, although their home form is poor with a 100% loss rate. However, Inter Miami displays even worse away statistics – they have yet to score a goal away this season (0 goals, 100% FTS%) and have also lost all their away matches. Orlando has a better xG record in home matches (1.77 vs 1.38 for Miami away) as well as more shots on target (6 vs 3). Inter Miami, despite high ball possession (68%), cannot translate that into attacking effectiveness away from home. The overall form of both teams is poor, but the home advantage and Miami's complete ineffectiveness in away matches give Orlando a better chance of securing their first victory. A closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts can be expected.
Orlando City vs Inter Miami: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Orlando City play Inter Miami in MLS (United States). The match date is 2 March 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Orlando City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Inter Miami: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Orlando City scores 1.53 and concedes 2.93 goals per match. Inter Miami scores 2.60 and concedes 1.87. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Orlando City 67%, Inter Miami 73%. Over 2.5: Orlando City 73%, Inter Miami 73%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.29. Orlando City: 11.1 shots per match, Inter Miami: 16.3.
Match halves
Orlando City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.80. Inter Miami: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
Orlando City: 16-30 (8 goals). Inter Miami: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Orlando City has the home advantage, although their home form is poor with a 100% loss rate. However, Inter Miami displays even worse away statistics – they have yet to score a goal away this season (0 goals, 100% FTS%) and have also lost all their away matches. Orlando has a better xG record in home matches (1.77 vs 1.38 for Miami away) as well as more shots on target (6 vs 3). Inter Miami, despite high ball possession (68%), cannot translate that into attacking effectiveness away from home. The overall form of both teams is poor, but the home advantage and Miami's complete ineffectiveness in away matches give Orlando a better chance of securing their first victory. A closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts can be expected.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Orlando City | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Miami is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Orlando City · 2.4 pts / match - Inter Miami
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 70% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Orlando City · 2.6 goals / match - Inter Miami
Inter Miami is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.93 goals / match - Orlando City · 1.87 goals / match - Inter Miami
Orlando City scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Inter Miami scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Orlando City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Orlando City
Over / Under — Inter Miami
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Miami is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Orlando City · 1.53 pts / match - Inter Miami
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orlando City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Orlando City
Inter Miami
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Orlando City | Liga | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.47 | 3.29 | ▲ 4.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 79% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Orlando City 1 - 0 - 0 Inter Miami. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Orlando City vs Inter Miami?
The MLS match finished Orlando City 2:4 Inter Miami. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Orlando City vs Inter Miami?
Orlando City score 1.53 goals per game on average and Inter Miami 2.60. The MLS average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Orlando City's matches and 73% of Inter Miami's.
What form are Orlando City and Inter Miami in?
Over the last 5 games Orlando City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Inter Miami 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orlando City vs Inter Miami?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.